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China Archives | Page 71 of 154 | Smartkarma

Daily Brief China: Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Tencent, Onewo Space-Tech, China Longyuan Power, Simcere Pharmaceutical Group, Health And Happiness (H&H), Tower Bersama Infrastructure and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four or Five Changes in December
  • Tencent : A Long but Use Options to Mitigate Any Broader Market Risks
  • China’s Real Estate Crisis: Threatening Headwinds on Onewo IPO
  • China Longyuan (916 HK): Brightened Prospects
  • Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096.HK) 22H1 – Gloomy Outlook and Risks in Profits
  • H&H International – Tear Sheet – Lucror Analytics
  • Morning Views Asia: Longfor Properties, Tower Bersama Infrastructure

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four or Five Changes in December

By Brian Freitas

  • Nearly 90% of the way through the review period, we see 4 changes using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.
  • There are overlaps in the inclusions using 6/12 month minimum listing history, so there is less risk if the index committee switches from 6 to 12 months at the review.
  • Using a 6 month minimum listing history, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,795m.

Tencent : A Long but Use Options to Mitigate Any Broader Market Risks

By Simon Harris

  • Derivative trade ideas to maintain upside/protect downside in Tencent. Stock is cheap but risks remain 
  • Take advantage of a retracement in implied vols and depressed skew levels to improve payoffs and protect against broader market risk
  • We look at 3 alternative trades depending on your position and outlook

China’s Real Estate Crisis: Threatening Headwinds on Onewo IPO

By Douglas Kim

  • Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK) is getting ready to complete an IPO in Hong Kong in the coming weeks. The company is seeking to raise nearly US$2 billion in this IPO.
  • Onewo is one of the leading property management service providers in China with a market share of 4.3% in the US$16 billion industry in China. 
  • The major real estate downturn in China is one of the biggest headwinds on the Onewo IPO. 

China Longyuan (916 HK): Brightened Prospects

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • With concerns on weaker 1H22 profit and lower industry return (due to Lianjiang offshore project) now behind us, China Longyuan Power (916 HK) is well set for better 2H22.
  • Utilisation hours should see improvement while new capacity growth is another major driver. The upgrades of aged and small-sized units will almost double its existing capacity. 
  • Receipt of Rmb11.4bn subsidies clearly represented an acceleration in collection. This will stay as contributor to better cash flow and enhance financial position. 

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096.HK) 22H1 – Gloomy Outlook and Risks in Profits

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Simcere’s profit was mainly driven by the income of non-recurring items (investment business). Due to unfriendly external environment, investors are recommended to be prepared for further decline in net profit. 
  • The overall quality of Simcere’s pipeline is not high, which would be difficult to bring decent revenue in the next few years. Simcere’s transformation is not as smooth as expected.
  • In fact, over the years, Simcere’s strongest capability lies in the sales rather than R&D. Since the game rule changes, we are bearish on Simcere.

H&H International – Tear Sheet – Lucror Analytics

By Shu Hui Woon

We view Health and Happiness International (H&H) as “Medium Risk” on the LARA scale. The company has a sound business profile, with stable branded products in the Baby Nutrition and Care​ (BNC) and Adult Nutrition and Care (ANC) markets. The acquisition of Zesty Paws in 2021 allowed H&H to expand into the Pet Nutrition and Care ​(PNC) business. The company’s strong distribution channels support cross-border and e-commerce sales strategies. That said, the positive factors are balanced by the risk of entering new markets and selling new products, along with the fragmented and competitive Chinese market. We like H&H’s solid business fundamentals, strong market positions and healthy financial profile. In particular, it has a sound liquidity profile and steady CFO.

We note that the acquisition has impacted H&H’s financial profile and weakened its leverage metrics. That said, PNC is part of the company’s sustainable growth plan. We expect it to work on deleveraging in the near term, in order to maintain a healthy credit profile.

The USD bondholders suffer material structural subordination. The issuing entity is a Cayman Islands company with no operating assets, and the PRC operating subsidiaries do not guarantee the USD notes. The level of priority creditors is high at the Australian subsidiary. Bondholders would have very limited access to assets in a liquidation scenario.

Our Credit Bias on H&H is “Stable”, given the company’s solid business fundamentals, strong market positions and moderate financial profile. The ANC and PNC segments are expected to deliver stronger performance, while BNC should continue facing challenges. As a result, ANC and PNC will likely be H&H’s key growth segments, offsetting the competitive BNC business. The company aims to expand into other business segments and markets outside China, in order to compensate for muted growth in the country.

Controversies are “Immaterial” and the ESG Impact on Credit is “Neutral”.


Morning Views Asia: Longfor Properties, Tower Bersama Infrastructure

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief China: 111 Inc, Tencent, Innovex Medical, China SCE and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • 111’s Opportunistic US$3.66 Bid from the Co-Founders
  • ECM Weekly (12th Sep 2022) – Onewo, CALB, YSB, Medanta, Beneunder, JMDC, SH Holdings, Indigo
  • China Internet Weekly (12Aug2022): Tencent, JD.com, Meituan, NetEase, Inkeverse
  • Pre-IPO Innovex Medical – A Comprehensive Product Portfolio Underpins Future Growth Prospects
  • Morning Views Asia: China SCE, Yuexiu Property
  • Morning Views Asia: China SCE, Yuexiu Property

111’s Opportunistic US$3.66 Bid from the Co-Founders

By Arun George

  • 111 Inc (YI US), the largest virtual pharmacy network in China, disclosed a privatisation proposal from a co-founder-led consortium at US$3.66 per ADS, a 20.0% premium to the undisturbed price. 
  • For privatisation to succeed, shareholders representing two-thirds of shares present and voting need to approve the deal. The co-founders represent 92.04% of the total voting power.
  • The offer price is unattractive but this is a done deal. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread for a January 2023 completion is 11.6% and 33.4%, respectively. 

ECM Weekly (12th Sep 2022) – Onewo, CALB, YSB, Medanta, Beneunder, JMDC, SH Holdings, Indigo

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, a few large Hong Kong IPOs are lining up to launch soon.
  • Placements picked up this week in Japan and India with most being secondary deals.

China Internet Weekly (12Aug2022): Tencent, JD.com, Meituan, NetEase, Inkeverse

By Ming Lu

  • Tencent invested more in Ubisoft Entertainment, a French game developer.
  • The monthly active users of local life recovered in China in June and July.
  • NetEase will close Music Street, the social networking-oriented karaoke app.

Pre-IPO Innovex Medical – A Comprehensive Product Portfolio Underpins Future Growth Prospects

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • As one of the few companies in the world that could provide one-stop solutions including all major medical devices used in non-vascular interventional surgery, Innovex’s outlook is promising.
  • About 30% overseas revenue indicates that the Company’s internationalization is on track, which could help to “hedge” negative domestic policy risks.
  • In terms of the valuation, Innovex’s valuation should be higher than Scivita but lower than Aohua. However, Innovex has the potential to surpass Aohua in the future.

Morning Views Asia: China SCE, Yuexiu Property

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Morning Views Asia: China SCE, Yuexiu Property

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief China: Soho China, Giordano International, CALB, Onewo Space-Tech, Tianqi Lithium and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: SOHO China, Nikkei 225 Review, SK Chemicals, SingTel, Porsche, Tyro
  • Weekly Deals Digest (11 Sep) – Giordano, DTAC/True, Link Admin, Nitro, Tyro, Ramsay, CALB, Onewo
  • CALB IPO Preview
  • Onewo IPO: Trade-Offs Vs Peers
  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, HSCEI, REMX, GDXJ, Link Admin

Last Week in Event SPACE: SOHO China, Nikkei 225 Review, SK Chemicals, SingTel, Porsche, Tyro

By David Blennerhassett


Weekly Deals Digest (11 Sep) – Giordano, DTAC/True, Link Admin, Nitro, Tyro, Ramsay, CALB, Onewo

By Arun George


CALB IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • China Aviation Lithium Battery (CALB) is getting ready for an IPO in Hong Kong.
  • In the past several days, CALB received the approval from the Hong Kong stock exchange for an IPO.
  • In the next two years, CALB expects its production capacity for lithium batteries to increase to about 55 GWh which is more than 6x the capacity at end of 2021. 

Onewo IPO: Trade-Offs Vs Peers

By Arun George


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, HSCEI, REMX, GDXJ, Link Admin

By Brian Freitas


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Daily Brief China: Bilibili Inc, Shougang Fushan Resources, Agile Property Holdings, Palo Alto Networks and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Bilibili: Profitability Sinks and Top Line Growth to Further Drop with Cost Controls
  • Fushan Energy: Back to Interesting Levels
  • Chinese Property Weekly – 9 September 2022 – Lucror Analytics
  • Chinese Property Weekly – 9 September 2022 – Lucror Analytics
  • Palo Alto Networks: The NGFW Palo Alto Networks Cloud & Other Drivers

Bilibili: Profitability Sinks and Top Line Growth to Further Drop with Cost Controls

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Bilibili reported 2Q2022 results yesterday. Revenue grew 9.2% YoY to RMB4.91bn (in-line with consensus), however, it declined 2.9% YoY sequentially driven by YoY decrease in revenue from mobile games.
  • Operating losses for the quarter further widened to RMB2.2bn (vs consensus RMB2.1bn) which accounted for 44.6% of revenues compared to 33.8% in the same period a year ago.
  • Bilibili Inc (BILI US)  has taken several measure to improve its deteriorating profitability including headcount reduction, S&M cost cuts and close down of unprofitable businesses.

Fushan Energy: Back to Interesting Levels

By Sameer Taneja

  • Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK) is back to interesting levels after a correction in HK/China and now trades at 4.5x PE/1.3x EV-EBITDA FY22e and a dividend yield of 17%. 
  • With >50% of the market capitalization in cash (accounting for the dividend liability), there is an excellent margin of safety in the name.
  • A further correction of coking coal prices by 20% from these levels to 1700-1800 RMB/ton would still have the stock trading at a >10% dividend yield. 

Chinese Property Weekly – 9 September 2022 – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

The Chinese Property Weekly focuses on providing updates in the Chinese real-estate sector, including recent regulatory and company developments, top and bottom performers, rating actions, as well as a list of bond maturities in the next 30 days.


Chinese Property Weekly – 9 September 2022 – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

The Chinese Property Weekly focuses on providing updates in the Chinese real-estate sector, including recent regulatory and company developments, top and bottom performers, rating actions, as well as a list of bond maturities in the next 30 days.


Palo Alto Networks: The NGFW Palo Alto Networks Cloud & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Palo Alto Networks’ management has continued to make significant investments to transform the company and take advantage of the rapidly growing and large market opportunity in cybersecurity.
  • Palo Alto Networks is looking to grab a large chunk of market share and become a leader in the firewall market.
  • We provide the stock of Palo Alto Networks with a ‘Hold’ rating with a revision in the target price.

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Daily Brief China: Onewo Space-Tech, People’s Insurance (PICC), Binjiang Service Group, YSB Inc, Dongfang Electric, Bilibili, Cummins Inc and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Onewo Space-Tech Pre-IPO – Thoughts on Valuation
  • People’s Insurance (PICC) (1339.HK) – The Rally (If Any) May Not Last Despite Undervalued
  • Binjiang H1 2022: Management Soundbites
  • Onewo Space-Tech IPO: A Deep Dive into the Largest Business Segment
  • YSB Inc Pre-IPO – The Negatives – However, It Comes at a Cost to Profitability
  • Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): At Full Throttle
  • Bilibili (9626 HK): 2Q22, Game Fell, But to Reduce Expense
  • Cummins Inc: The Meritor Acquisition & Other Drivers

Onewo Space-Tech Pre-IPO – Thoughts on Valuation

By Sumeet Singh

  • Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK) aims to raise upto US$2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by China Vanke (2202 HK)
  • As per Frost & Sullivan, amongst the residential community service providers in China, OST ranked first. It also ranked first in the commercial space integrated services market in China.
  • In this note, we provide our earnings estimates and thoughts on valuation.

People’s Insurance (PICC) (1339.HK) – The Rally (If Any) May Not Last Despite Undervalued

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • People’s Insurance (PICC) (1339 HK)’s 2022H1 performance outpaced the industry peers, mainly driven by the improved performance of motor vehicle insurance business and non-vehicle insurance business. 
  • While non-life insurance business is the foundation/main driver of growth,life insurance business is the drag on performance, the successful transformation of which is an important factor to drive up valuation.
  • PICC’s is undervalued. The major catalyst could be the upcoming 20th National Congress, expecting some rally during this period. Due to unfriendly macro, the rally may not last long.

Binjiang H1 2022: Management Soundbites

By Sameer Taneja

  • Binjiang Service Group (3316 HK) presents a unique opportunity for investment in the property management space trading at 11.6x/9.4x FY22/23 PE, with a dividend yield of 5.2% FY22e (60% payout).
  • The company has >35% of its market capitalization in cash, and the parent so far has been a relatively safer investment option compared to the rest in the property space.
  • If the company is willing to continue paying >60%, we believe it can rerate to multiples comparable with SOEs of 16-20x PE.

Onewo Space-Tech IPO: A Deep Dive into the Largest Business Segment

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK)  is a leading property management service provider in China focused on offering basic property management services.
  • Backed by China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK) , the company has filed for an IPO on the HKEx and plans to raise proceeds of around US$2bn.
  • In this insight, we discuss the company’s business model and deep dive into the largest business segment Community Space Living Consumption Services.

YSB Inc Pre-IPO – The Negatives – However, It Comes at a Cost to Profitability

By Clarence Chu

  • YSB Inc (YSB HK) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.  
  • YSB Inc. (YSB) operates a pharmaceutical platform, digitizing the pharmaceutical transaction and service segment.
  • However, gross margins have fluctuated owing to a changing sales mix. Growth has also come at the cost of profitability and YSB has consistently burned cash over its track period.

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): At Full Throttle

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Strong new orders in 2H22 and FY23 are the drivers for Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) after it posted a 31.6% earnings growth and new orders of Rmb36.7bn in 1H22.
  • Demand outlook for its major products including coal-fired, gas turbine, renewable, pumped storage and hydrogen energy are all very encouraging. 
  • We estimate order backlog will equal to 1.6x FY22F revenue by year-end. Despite solid outperformance, DEC is still cheap at 12.6x and 9.8x PERs for FY22 and FY23.

Bilibili (9626 HK): 2Q22, Game Fell, But to Reduce Expense

By Ming Lu

  • In 2Q22, the revenue growth rate was lower than we expected, especially in the game business.
  • We believe the May layoff will reduce operating expenses in following quarters.
  • We set an upside of 8.3% and a price target of HK$197.

Cummins Inc: The Meritor Acquisition & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cummins delivered a third consecutive all-around beat in a quarter that was marked by a number of significant developments including many ke partnerships.
  • The company announced partnerships with Daimler Truck, Scania, and North America for delivering fuel cell electric powertrains for heavy-duty truck applications, with Komatsu on developing haulage equipment zero-emission which includes hydrogen fuel cell solutions for the large mining haul truck applications.
  • It also achieved a significant milestone in the quarter related to two acquisitions, namely Meritor and Jacobs Vehicle Systems.

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Daily Brief China: China Shenhua Energy Co H, Soho China, CALB, A8 New Media, CIFI Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Could Be A BIG One
  • SOHO China (410 HK): Blackstone Deal Potentially Back On As Pan Shiyi Goes “Altruistic”
  • CALB IPO: The Bear Case
  • Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings – 1st Sept 2022: A8 New Media, China Fordoo
  • Morning Views Asia: China SCE, CIFI Holdings

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Could Be A BIG One

By Brian Freitas

  • There could be up to 6 changes to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the December rebalance, mainly driven by the deletions.
  • If there are six changes to the index, estimated one-way turnover is 6.47% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$4,124m.
  • There is large short interest on quite a lot of stocks and will play an important role in the rebalance.

SOHO China (410 HK): Blackstone Deal Potentially Back On As Pan Shiyi Goes “Altruistic”

By David Blennerhassett

  • Pan Shiyi and Pan Zhangxin – Chairman and CEO respectively of SOHO China (410 HK) – have tendered their resignations, with immediate effect. 
  • Both are resigning “to focus on supporting the arts and philanthropic pursuits“.
  • That sounds like a “donation” is on the cards. And the Pans selling their stake in SOHO China would nicely fund that donation.

CALB IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • CALB (CALBLZ CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.
  • In CALB IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  
  • The key elements of the bear case rest on its small scale, low profitability and high FCF burn compared to listed peers.   

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings – 1st Sept 2022: A8 New Media, China Fordoo

By David Blennerhassett

  • The data in this insight is collated from the “shareholding disclosure” link on the HKEx website
  • Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase – or decrease – in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. 
  • These insights may also flag those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing. Stocks mentioned include A8 New Media (800 HK) and China Fordoo Holdings (2399 HK).

Morning Views Asia: China SCE, CIFI Holdings

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief China: CALB, Tencent, iQIYI Inc, ZTO Express Cayman Inc, YSB Inc, Sirnaomics, Onewo Space-Tech, CIFI Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • CALB IPO: The Bull Case
  • Tencent Increases Its Stake in Ubisoft
  • IQiyi: Improving Profitability but Headwinds Continue
  • ZTO Express (2057 HK/​ZTO US): Quality Speaks for Itself
  • YSB Inc Pre-IPO – The Positives – Evolving Business Model Coupled with Growth.
  • Sirnaomics (2257.HK)-Unverified Technology and Uncertainties Can Lead to Big Swings in Share Price
  • Onewo Space-Tech Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Large Scale, Small Margins
  • Morning Views Asia: Central China Securities, CIFI Holdings, Fosun International, Sino-Ocean Service

CALB IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • CALB (CALBLZ CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.
  • According to Frost & Sullivan, in terms of installed capacity in 2021, CALB ranked seventh globally among EV battery companies with a 3.2% market share.
  • The key elements of the bull case rest on a large and growing market, rising market share, explosive top-line growth and ambitious capacity expansion plans.

Tencent Increases Its Stake in Ubisoft

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • It was reported in August that Tencent was looking to raise its stake in Ubisoft and had reached out to Ubisoft’s founding family Guillemot who currently owns 14.0% of Ubisoft.
  • Tencent has acquired a 49.9% economic stake in Guillemot Brothers for EUR300m and as part of the deal, will be allowed to up its current stake in Ubisoft.
  • Ubisoft announced on Tuesday that its board of directors have authorised Tencent to increase its direct stake in Ubisoft from 4.5% to 9.99%.

IQiyi: Improving Profitability but Headwinds Continue

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • IQIYI Inc (IQ US) reported 2Q2022 earnings last week. Revenue decreased 12.5% YoY to RMB6.66bn (vs consensus RMB6.67bn) and reported an OP of RMB125.8m (vs consensus RMB30.4m).
  • The company also announced a US$500m private placement of convertible notes with PAG (PAG HK)  and the transaction is expected to close in 4Q2022.
  • The company also has entered into a content licensing agreement with Douyin which will likely bring in high-margin business for content distribution segment.

ZTO Express (2057 HK/​ZTO US): Quality Speaks for Itself

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The Aug China Express Development Index points to further industry recovery; and as the leader with 23% (+2pp YoY) market share, ZTO Express (2057 HK) should ride on the uptrend. 
  • Sustained volume outperformance, upside on pricing and excellent cost control capability are drivers in 2H22. We are also comfortable with its solid financial position. 
  • ZTO Express has above-average earnings quality and enjoys benefits from industry consolidation. Its on par valuation with the industry makes the stock appealing.

YSB Inc Pre-IPO – The Positives – Evolving Business Model Coupled with Growth.

By Clarence Chu

  • YSB Inc (YSB HK) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.  
  • YSB Inc. (YSB) operates a pharmaceutical platform, digitizing the pharmaceutical transaction and service segment.
  • Throughout its history, YSB has been evolving its business model and has been growing its user base rapidly as well, thereby leading to GMV growth and in turn, sales growth.

Sirnaomics (2257.HK)-Unverified Technology and Uncertainties Can Lead to Big Swings in Share Price

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The current two mainstream delivery platforms such as LNP delivery platform and GalNAc RNAi platform have been verified and recognized, with products using these platforms successfully launched on the market.
  • Sirnaomics has developed its own differentiated delivery platforms, but the druggability has never been verified in trials, like a blind box. They will not be valuable until they are proven.
  • Sirnaomics has cashflow pressure and is uncertain if it can survive “this winter”. It’s also difficult for Sirnaomics to find suitable valuation anchor in HKEX. Share price may fluctuate largely.

Onewo Space-Tech Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Large Scale, Small Margins

By Sumeet Singh

  • Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK) aims to raise upto US$2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by China Vanke (2202 HK)
  • As per Frost & Sullivan, amongst the residential community service providers in China, OST ranked first. It also ranked first in the commercial space integrated services market in China.
  • In this note, we undertake a peer comparison with some of its larger listed peers.

Morning Views Asia: Central China Securities, CIFI Holdings, Fosun International, Sino-Ocean Service

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief China: Giordano International, Tencent, Onewo Space-Tech, Beneunder, Kintor Pharmaceutical, Sino-Ocean Group, China Jinmao Holdings and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Giordano’s Acceptances Just Short of the 50% Voting Threshold; Offer Period Extended
  • China Internet Weekly (5Aug2022): Tencent, NetEase, S.F., Baidu, IQ
  • Onewo Space-Tech Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Topline Still Strong YoY, Sequentially Cracks Emerging
  • Giordano (709 HK): Cheng’s Have 44.98%. Offer Extended
  • Beneunder (蕉下) Pre-IPO: Popular Sun-Protection Brand, But in Competition with Apparel Producers
  • Kintor Pharmaceutical (9939.HK) Placement – The Hidden Risks and the True Colors
  • Sino-Ocean – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2022 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • Morning Views Asia: ABM Investama, China Jinmao Holdings, China Vanke, Country Garden Holdings Co

Giordano’s Acceptances Just Short of the 50% Voting Threshold; Offer Period Extended

By Arun George

  • The offeror and acceptances reached 44.98%, just short of the 50% minimum acceptance condition. The closing date has been extended to 13 September. 
  • If the offer is declared unconditional on or before 8 September, Giordano International (709 HK) shareholders who accept the offer will get HK$1.88 but not the dividend of HK$0.085.
  • The offeror likely remains confident that it will hit the 50% threshold. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread for 17 Sep payment is 1.1% and 37.2%, respectively.

China Internet Weekly (5Aug2022): Tencent, NetEase, S.F., Baidu, IQ

By Ming Lu

  • NetEase will start its first game studio in Europe after setting up two studios in the U.S.
  • Tencent and Sony invested minor shareholding in a Japanese game developer.
  • In 1H22, S.F. Holding’s revenue grew dramatically and its margins improved significantly.

Onewo Space-Tech Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Topline Still Strong YoY, Sequentially Cracks Emerging

By Sumeet Singh

  • Onewo Space-Tech (OST) aims to raise upto US$2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK)
  • As per Frost & Sullivan, amongst the residential community service providers in China, OST ranked first. It also ranked first in the commercial space integrated services market in China.
  • In this note, we talk about the updates from its recently filed PHIP.

Giordano (709 HK): Cheng’s Have 44.98%. Offer Extended

By David Blennerhassett

  • Late last night, Giordano International (709 HK) announced the Offeror – the Cheng Family – had 44.98% in the bag after 20.41% of shares out had been tendered.
  • The Offer has been extended for one week, until the 13 September. 
  • Whether investors receive the Offer consideration AND the interim divided is still up for debate.

Beneunder (蕉下) Pre-IPO: Popular Sun-Protection Brand, But in Competition with Apparel Producers

By Ming Lu

  • Beneunder has large sales volume on Chinese e-commerce platforms and has a large physical store chain.
  • However, outdoor brands and apparel brands compete with Beneunder and some brands’ prices are close to Beneunder.
  • Beneunder has to keep physical stores and control online advertising budget.

Kintor Pharmaceutical (9939.HK) Placement – The Hidden Risks and the True Colors

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Over the past year, we’ve seen the stock price of Kintor fluctuate largely, which was mainly driven by its COVID-19 drug proxalutamide. However, we are not optimistic about its outlook.
  • There are big concerns about the credibility of management. The suspicion caused by mistrust leads us to suggest that investors directly enter the “show me the result” mode.
  • Shares plunged after the announcement of the Placing. Obviously, Kintor Pharmaceutical (9939 HK) is short of money. Considering the potential risks behind, we are bearish on Kintor. 

Sino-Ocean – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2022 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Shu Hui Woon

Sino-Ocean’s H1/22 results were mixed in our view. Contracted sales fell by 14% y-o-y, slightly better than the average industry decline of 30-40%. The company also managed to repay c. CNY 20 bn of debt in H1/22. Sino-Ocean enjoys good access to financing, raising CNY 6 bn from the capital markets amid weak market sentiment in the period. It also intends to issue state-backed guarantee bonds in the near term.

Negatively, Cash/ST Debt was inadequate, with available cash of only CNY 14 bn. Sino-Ocean plans to explore various channels to repay the existing debt, including boosting contracted sales with a faster cash collection rate, project financing and obtaining financing support from shareholders. That said, any price discount or additional financing will weaken the credit metrics further. Moreover, Sino-Ocean fell in the yellow category under the regulator’s Three Red Lines thresholds (FY 2021: green), which would limit the amount of new debt that could be taken up.


Morning Views Asia: ABM Investama, China Jinmao Holdings, China Vanke, Country Garden Holdings Co

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief China: Haier Smart Home Co Ltd, Beijing Tongrentang Co A, Kwg Property Holding and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): A Trusted Name that Delivers
  • Beijing Tongrentang (600085.CH)- Neither Brand Nor Angong Niuhuang Pills Can Secure Future Prospects
  • Morning Views Asia: KWG Living Group

Haier Smart Home (6690 HK): A Trusted Name that Delivers

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Driven by recovery of Casarte after lockdown removed and premiumisation of product and pricing, Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) should see sustained healthy earnings growth in 2H22.
  • We expect room to improve gross margin sequentially as cost pressure subsides in 2H22. Meanwhile, overseas markets still present good expansion opportunities. 
  • Premium valuations are justified by its brand strength, global presence and strong execution capability. Healthy 1H22 should clear market’s concerns on impact of weak property market. 

Beijing Tongrentang (600085.CH)- Neither Brand Nor Angong Niuhuang Pills Can Secure Future Prospects

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • 2018 was a watershed for Tongrentang. After the incident of using expired honey was exposed and the corruption scandal afterwards, Tongrentang’s performance declined significantly and didn’t recover until 2021.
  • Angong Niuhuang Pill is the major performance driver and also Tongrentang’s core product. Due to the economic downturn, the price increase of Angong Niuhuang Pills could lead to inventory overstocking.
  • The high growth in 2021 may not be sustained. We lowered our forecast for 2022. Without core competitiveness and high moat, we are conservative about Tongrentang’s long-term outlook.

Morning Views Asia: KWG Living Group

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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Daily Brief China: China MeiDong Auto, Yankuang Energy Group, Giordano International, Lichen China, Onewo Space-Tech, Tencent and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Meidong: Insights from Call with the Management for H1 2022
  • Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: S&P/ASX, CH50/A50, TW50/Div+, NIFTY50/100, STI, EPRA, Sensex
  • Weekly Deals Digest (04 Sep) – Giordano, BYD, Link Net, MACA, Nitro, Nearmap, Leapmotor, Onewo
  • Lichen China IPO Preview: Your Trusted Provider of Financial and Taxation Services
  • Onewo IPO: The Bear Case
  • ECM Weekly (4th Sep 2022) – China ADRs, Tencent, Leapmotor, Onewo, Hongjiu Fruit, Doosan Ener
  • (Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Nitro Software, MACA, Giordano, Link Net

Meidong: Insights from Call with the Management for H1 2022

By Sameer Taneja

  • China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK) presents an excellent investment opportunity, trading at 13.3x/8.1x FY22/23e, post street estimate revisions downwards with a dividend yield of 6.0%/10% (assuming an 80% payout). 
  • China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK) ‘s integration of Starchase is progressing better than we expected, with metrics on inventory dramatically improving. We believe the management will focus on aftersales now. 
  • The company will join the EV bandwagon by collaborating on aftersales with players having operational (not financial) difficulties performing this service, presenting a good opportunity for the company. 

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: S&P/ASX, CH50/A50, TW50/Div+, NIFTY50/100, STI, EPRA, Sensex

By Brian Freitas

  • There were a bunch of rebalance announcements last week from FTSE and Nifty, and implementation of changes to the MSCI, JPXNK400 and Hang Seng indexes.
  • The changes to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) should be announced early in the coming week and the changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) will be implemented on Friday.
  • There were large inflows to China and Hong Kong focused ETFs during the week.

Weekly Deals Digest (04 Sep) – Giordano, BYD, Link Net, MACA, Nitro, Nearmap, Leapmotor, Onewo

By Arun George


Lichen China IPO Preview: Your Trusted Provider of Financial and Taxation Services

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Lichen China, niche provider of financial and taxation services, filed for an IPO in the United States, and plans to raise ~$25M. Investment bank Univest Securities is leading the offering. 
  • The company applied to list Class A shares on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol Lichen China (LICN US) and will have Class A shares and Class B shares. 
  • We have a favorable view of the upcoming IPO, and consider an IPO valuation of ~$119M as attractive at ~2x EV/FY22E revenue and a forward P/E of ~14x.  

Onewo IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Onewo Space-Tech (ONEWO HK), China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK)’s property management unit, has begun pre-marketing a US$2.0 billion HKEx IPO.
  • In Onewo IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
  • The key elements of the bear case rest on the organic growth rates half of the reported rates, slow revenue diversification, lacklustre gross margin and declining contract liabilities ratio.

ECM Weekly (4th Sep 2022) – China ADRs, Tencent, Leapmotor, Onewo, Hongjiu Fruit, Doosan Ener

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, things are starting to move with Leapmotor and Onewo, while CALB continues to have second thoughts.
  • The biggest placement this week was Doosan, but there was news of Tencent setting its sights on sizeable future placements via divestments.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Nitro Software, MACA, Giordano, Link Net

By David Blennerhassett


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