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In today’s briefing:
- Rept Battero IPO: The Bear Case
- [Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Solid Companies Starting to Rise from the Ashes
- (Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Perpetual, Weiqiao Textile,Tokyo Rakutenchi,Toyo, Chindata
- Weekly Deals Digest (10 Dec) – CPMC, Weiqiao, Benefit One, Tokyo Rakutenchi, Eoflow, Rept Battero
- China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) – Important Trends in Pharma, Big Discount Sale of Equity, Topchoice
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Rept Battero IPO: The Bear Case
- REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$306 million. Pricing is on 14 December.
- In Rept Battero IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
- The bear case rests on market share losses, high related party revenue, weak outlook, EV battery weak performance, FCF burn, high impairments and receivable financing.
[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Solid Companies Starting to Rise from the Ashes
- China’s innovative drug sector remains a liquidity driven sector, as investible choices are limited, which include Akeso and BeiGene as our BUY ideas.
- We also notice positive change in Innovent but opt to keep rating unchanged;
- We upgrade BeiGene from SELL to BUY and maintain SELL on RemeGen, Innovent, JUNSHI and ZaiLab. We discontinued coverage on Legend Biotech.
(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Perpetual, Weiqiao Textile,Tokyo Rakutenchi,Toyo, Chindata
- I tally 42 – mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac – transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
- Four new deals discussed this week: WashSoul‘s tilt for Perpetual (PPT AU); CPMC (906 HK)‘s SASAC Offer; Weiqiao Textile (2698 HK)‘s Offer; and Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP)‘s Tender Offer.
- Key updates took place on: Origin Energy (ORG AU), Healius (HLS AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Eoflow (294090 KS), and Chindata Group (CD US).
Weekly Deals Digest (10 Dec) – CPMC, Weiqiao, Benefit One, Tokyo Rakutenchi, Eoflow, Rept Battero
- A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
- ECM developments – REPT BATTERO Energy (1998104D CH) IPO and Denso Corp (6902 JP)‘s US$4.0 Billion Secondary Offering and US$1.4 Billion Buyback.
- Event-Driven developments – Benefit One Inc (2412 JP), Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK), Eoflow (294090 KS), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US).
China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.8) – Important Trends in Pharma, Big Discount Sale of Equity, Topchoice
- We summarized some important opportunities and trends that we think would emerge in the pharmaceutical industry in the future.
- Considering the current unfavorable financing situation of Biotech in the domestic primary market, we anticipate that there would be significant discounts in the sale of equity in the future.
- Topchoice has not yet out of trouble. Most of its business diversification could end in failure. It is difficult to support high valuation only by one hospital and one region.