Earnings Alerts

Progressive Corp (PGR) Earnings Surge: An In-depth Analysis on Boosted Investments & Projected Growth

  • Progressive’s earnings have been significantly influenced by investments, leading to a boost.
  • The estimated earnings per share (EPS) stands at $3.27.
  • Estimated net premiums earned are valued at $15.87 billion while estimated net premiums written are reported at $17.6 billion.
  • Loss ratio is at an estimated 70.3% and expense ratio at an estimated 18%.
  • The company reported an estimated combined ratio of 88.1%.
  • Net investment income is expected to be around $604 million.
  • An analysis by Piper Sandler suggests that progressive’s personal-auto premium expansion could outperform historical averages due to price increases.
  • Piper Sandler also noted that as Progressive is ahead of its peers with price increases, it could gain a larger share as the competition raises prices pushing customers to shop due to the high prices.
  • Earnings growth is expected to significantly expand and top line growth is expected to be in solid double digits.
  • There are 11 buys, 10 holds, and 1 sell among analysts.
  • The average price target is $218.28, a predicted 7.2% upside from the current price.
  • The Shares have risen by 37.0% in the past year as compared to the SPX Index which is up by 26.4%.
  • After the earnings release, there is an implied one-day share move of 3.5%.
  • The company will release its quarterly dividend estimate of 10.0c per share on May 10, 2024 which is consistent with the year-ago reported value.
  • The earnings release is scheduled for April 12, 2024 before the market opens.

Progressive Corp on Smartkarma

Analysts on Smartkarma, such as Baptista Research, have been closely monitoring Progressive Corp. In a recent report titled “The Progressive Corporation: Exclusive Inside Look into Policy Lifetime Performance! – Major Drivers,” Baptista Research shared insights on the company’s financial performance. The report highlighted a disappointing set of results for Progressive Corp, as it fell short of revenue and earnings expectations on Wall Street.

Despite challenges, analysts like Baptista Research see segmentation opportunities within the new-to-renewal loss ratio performance of Progressive Corp. This analysis suggests that not all policy characteristics at new businesses may have the same predicted lifetime loss ratio performance. While these findings present challenges for the company, they also point to areas where Progressive Corp may be able to refine its strategies for improved performance in the future.


A look at Progressive Corp Smart Scores

FactorScoreMagnitude
Value2
Dividend2
Growth3
Resilience3
Momentum5
OVERALL SMART SCORE3.0

Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma

Analysts indicate a positive long-term outlook for The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company that offers various insurance products and services across the United States. Utilizing the Smartkarma Smart Scores, Progressive Corp receives a high score in Momentum, signaling strong positive price trends. This suggests that the company is likely to continue its upward momentum in the future, providing potential opportunities for investors.

Furthermore, Progressive Corp demonstrates solid scores in Growth and Resilience, indicating promising prospects for future development and a stable foundation to weather economic uncertainties. Although the Value and Dividend scores are not as high, the company’s overall positive outlook based on its performance across different factors bodes well for its long-term growth and sustainability in the insurance industry.


Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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