- Great Wall Motor is experiencing slower growth, mainly due to weak overseas performance.
- Citi estimates a decline of 11% in core profit for Q1 year-over-year, influenced by lower economies of scale and increased taxes in Russia.
- Estimates for 2025 and 2026 gross profit margins are reduced to 16.6% and 17.1%, respectively, due to potential declines in overseas profitability from tariff and tax hikes.
- Current analyst ratings show 25 buy recommendations, 6 hold, and 1 sell, indicating varied sentiment.
- The average price target for Great Wall Motor shares is HK$17.08, suggesting a potential upside of 47.0% from the current price.
- A 1-day share movement of 4.3% is implied following the earnings release.
- Over the past year, Great Wall Motor shares have increased by 9.3%, compared to a 31.2% rise in the Hang Seng Index.
- The release of the earnings report is expected on April 25.
Great Wall Motor on Smartkarma
Great Wall Motor‘s analyst coverage on Smartkarma by Travis Lundy provides valuable insights into the company’s performance and market sentiment. In the report “A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Mar 2025)”, Lundy notes that AH premia are still falling, with warning signs flashing on narrow spreads and heightened volatility. The analysis suggests potential benefits from spread curve torsion and wider spreads for investors.
Furthermore, in the report “A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Feb 2025)”, Lundy highlights a new 5-year low for AH Premia, indicating a dichotomy in performance between HK indices and A-shares. This trend suggests that foreign investors are driving the market, particularly favoring non-H/A pair HK stocks. The return of foreigners to HK markets adds a spivvy and short-term dynamic to the investment landscape.
A look at Great Wall Motor Smart Scores
| Factor | Score | Magnitude |
|---|---|---|
| Value | 4 | |
| Dividend | 4 | |
| Growth | 5 | |
| Resilience | 3 | |
| Momentum | 3 | |
| OVERALL SMART SCORE | 3.8 |
Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma
Great Wall Motor Company Limited, a leading manufacturer of pick-up trucks and SUVs in China, is poised for a promising long-term outlook based on the Smartkarma Smart Scores evaluation. With solid scores in areas such as value, dividend, and growth, the company demonstrates strong fundamentals and potential for future financial performance. A growth score of 5 indicates a positive trajectory for Great Wall Motor, showcasing its ability to expand and capture market opportunities going forward. However, the slightly lower scores in resilience and momentum highlight areas where the company may need to focus on strengthening its operations and market presence.
In summary, Great Wall Motor‘s overall outlook appears bright, supported by robust scores in key areas like value, dividend, and growth. As a prominent player in the Chinese automotive industry, specializing in pick-up trucks and SUVs, the company’s commitment to research, development, and manufacturing bodes well for its future prospects. By leveraging its strengths and addressing any areas of improvement, Great Wall Motor is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities and sustain its growth momentum in the long run.
Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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