Earnings Alerts

Fast Retailing (9983) Earnings Concerns Trigger Sharp 7.2% Stock Decline Amid China Market Woes

By January 10, 2025 No Comments
  • Japan’s stock market experienced declines, with the Topix Index dropping by 0.4% to 2,726.14 and the Nikkei decreasing by 0.6% to 39,380.41.
  • Fast Retailing was a major contributor to the Topix Index decline, falling 7.2% due to concerns over its performance in China.
  • Out of 2,123 stocks in the Topix Index, 680 advanced, 1,310 declined, and 133 remained unchanged.
  • Bank stocks were significant contributors to the index downturn amid uncertainty about future rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
  • There is only a 36% chance of the BOJ raising rates at the next policy meeting on January 23-24, down from 41% at the end of 2024.
  • The BOJ’s recent report showed progress on wage increases, but not enough to suggest imminent rate hikes in January or March.
  • Investors might be locking in profits from bank stocks, which have risen since the year’s start, according to a fund manager at Shinkin Asset Management.
  • Notable advancers include Hisamitsu Pharma, which surged by 13%, benefiting from an optimistic full-year operating profit outlook.
  • Advantest rose by 4.2%, and Kawasaki Heavy increased by 3.5%.
  • Other major decliners included Mitsui Mining at -6.4% and OSG at -5.9%.
  • Overall, 28 of 33 sector indexes on the Tokyo Stock Exchange declined, with the Retail Trade Index seeing the largest drop.
  • The MSCI AC Asia Pacific Index experienced a slight decline of 0.1%.
  • Despite recent declines, the Topix 500 is up 12% over the last year, compared to an 8.4% increase for the MSCI AC Asia Pacific Index.
  • Topix 500 stocks are currently trading at 14.8 times their estimated earnings for the next 12 months.

Fast Retailing on Smartkarma

On Smartkarma, top independent analysts like Mark Chadwick and Brian Freitas have been covering Fast Retailing (9983). Mark Chadwick‘s report, “Global Growth Shines Amid China Challenges,” highlights Fast Retailing‘s strong revenue and profit growth in Q1 FY2025, led by North America & Europe. Another report by Mark Chadwick, “Inditex’s Q3 Miss – Implications for Uniqlo,” discusses the potential risk of a top-line miss for Fast Retailing due to heightened expectations. Brian Freitas, with a more cautious view, mentions in “Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2025)” that Fast Retailing could see outflows due to a potential double reduction in PAF.

Mark Chadwick‘s outlook on Fast Retailing in “Weaving a Global Empire; FY8/25 Outlook” underlines the company’s significant sales growth driven by Uniqlo’s high-quality apparel and global expansion plans. However, Travis Lundy‘s report, “Mar25 Nikkei 225 Rebal: Considering Fast Retailing Capping…. Again…,” warns about Fast Retailing being capped on the Nikkei 225 index due to its performance, potentially leading to significant selling pressure. These varied insights on Fast Retailing provide investors with a comprehensive view on the company’s performance and future prospects.


A look at Fast Retailing Smart Scores

FactorScoreMagnitude
Value2
Dividend2
Growth4
Resilience4
Momentum5
OVERALL SMART SCORE3.4

Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD., known for its popular clothing brand UNIQLO, has a promising long-term outlook based on Smartkarma Smart Scores. With a strong Growth score of 4 and Resilience score of 4, the company is well-positioned for future expansion and able to weather market challenges effectively. Additionally, the Momentum score of 5 highlights Fast Retailing‘s positive market momentum, indicating potential for continued growth and investor interest.

Although the company receives moderate scores in Value and Dividend categories with a score of 2 each, the higher ratings in Growth, Resilience, and Momentum suggest a positive trajectory for Fast Retailing in the long run. With a global presence in multiple key markets such as the UK, US, and China among others, Fast Retailing‘s own line of casual clothing continues to attract customers worldwide, solidifying its position as a prominent player in the retail industry.


Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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