Earnings Alerts

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929) Earnings: Net Profit Expected to Drop Amidst Challenging Sales Environment

By October 22, 2024 No Comments
  • Chow Tai Fook reported a significant decline of 30.8% in same-store sales for Hong Kong and Macau.
  • Mainland China experienced a similar downturn with same-store sales dropping by 24.3%.
  • The overall retail sales decreased by 21%.
  • There was a 19.4% decline in retail sales specifically within Mainland China.
  • Hong Kong and Macau retail sales fell by an even larger margin of 31%.
  • The company cited macro-economic factors and record gold prices as key reasons affecting consumer sentiment.
  • Chow Tai Fook expects a year-on-year net profit decrease ranging from 42% to 46% for the first half of the year.
  • Analyst ratings for the company include 22 buys, 5 holds, and 3 sells.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery on Smartkarma

Analyst coverage on Smartkarma for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery reflects contrasting sentiments among independent analysts. Douglas Kim, in his report “Asian Dividend Gems: Chow Tai Fook Jewellery,” highlights the stock’s underperformance, down 28.2% YTD compared to the Hang Seng Index’s 6% rise. Kim sees this as an exaggerated gap and points to the company’s attractive valuations, with a P/E of 10.1x and a 4.8% average dividend yield from FY20 to FY24.

On the other hand, Osbert Tang, CFA, takes a bearish stance in his report “Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): Disappointed.” Tang notes the company’s weak FY24 profit, attributing it to gold loan losses and margin shrinkage. The absence of a special dividend, despite a significant net cash position, leads Tang to believe that the stock is no longer appealing. Tang’s insights suggest that earnings downgrade pressure may be on the horizon for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery.


A look at Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Smart Scores

FactorScoreMagnitude
Value2
Dividend4
Growth4
Resilience2
Momentum2
OVERALL SMART SCORE2.8

Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited, a company that retails jewelry such as rings, necklaces, and bracelets, operates retail stores in various Asian countries. Smartkarma Smart Scores provide insights into the long-term outlook for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery. With a Value score of 2, the company may present moderate value opportunities for investors. Its Dividend and Growth scores both stand at 4, indicating a strong potential for dividend payments and future growth. However, its Resilience and Momentum scores of 2 suggest some challenges in adapting to market conditions and maintaining positive stock momentum.

In summary, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited shows promising signs for dividend payments and growth opportunities based on its Smartkarma Smart Scores. Despite facing challenges in terms of value and momentum, its established presence in key Asian markets like China and Hong Kong could support its long-term performance in the jewelry retail industry.


Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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