In this briefing:
- Sunpower: Excellent FY18 Results; Strong Outlook for FY19. Fair Value Remains 1 SGD (70% Upside)
- Dhanlaxmi Bank- Free from the PCA Stranglehold
1. Sunpower: Excellent FY18 Results; Strong Outlook for FY19. Fair Value Remains 1 SGD (70% Upside)
Sunpower Group (SPWG SP) has seen an incredible transformation over the past 24 months. Since the entry of two respected PE funds (DCP and CDH) the company has de-emphasized its historical M&S business and pushed full throttle on its GI (Green Investments) portfolio.
The efforts of this shift to GI are now bearing fruit with FY18 revenues increasing by 66% to 3.26 billion RMB, EBITDA rising by 113.5% to 496 million RMB (15.2% EBITDA margin) and underlying NPAT rising by 87% to 268 million RMB. Most importantly, the quality and visibility of its cash flows have improved.
It is rare to find companies that give you 3-year NPAT forecasts but Sunpower did this with the issuance of its second CB late 3Q18. Instead of using stale sell-side consensus forecasts we now focus on these public forecasts to guide investors what Sunpower’s fair value is depending on the PE multiple that investors apply.
My Fair Value estimate of 1 SGD remains unchanged (based on 15x FY21 EPS and company meeting its FY21 NPAT targets as communicated in CB2 prospectus).
2. Dhanlaxmi Bank- Free from the PCA Stranglehold
Dhanlaxmi Bank (DHLBK IN) share price has surged by 10% today on the back of RBI move to take it out of Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) following improvement in its financial ratios. We have mentioned in our earlier reports (please click here, here and here) about the helplessness of the bank as it couldn’t lend due to restrictions from RBI.
Now as the grip is loosened, Dhanlaxmi can resume lending activities and improve its financial ratios without adding any new capital in the near term.
We analyze the implications post PCA through this report.
Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma
Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.
