Daily BriefsTMT/Internet

TMT: Sea Ltd, 51 Job Inc Adr, Gigabyte Technology, Samsung Electronics, King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd., Hana Microelectronics, Mindtree Ltd, Arlo Technologies Inc and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Sea Ltd: Something to Think About if You Are Starting to Lean Towards the Bullish Side
  • 51job’s Improved $61 Offer Gets the Board Onside
  • The Current Huge Gap of VGA Card Demand over Supply May Reverse in 2H22/2023
  • Will Samsung Follow Apple and Be Forced to Stop Selling Smartphones in Russia Due to FDPR Rule?
  • KYEC (2449.TT): A Slow 1Q22 Is Likely to Occur, Which Could Present an Entry Point.
  • HANA: 2022 Net Profit to Grow Despite Additional Costs
  • Mindtree: Robust Multi-Pronged Strategy To Capitalize On Healthy Demand
  • ARLO: Accelerating Growth Story, PT to $15

Sea Ltd: Something to Think About if You Are Starting to Lean Towards the Bullish Side

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Sea Ltd (SE US)’s outperformance ended abruptly yesterday following the 4Q21 earnings release with the share price giving away 2/3rd of the gains made during the last five days.
  • The company’s share price rallied around 30% in the last week of February, alongside rallying markets following a steep correction leading up to the Ukraine crisis.
  • With the fundamentals continuing to deteriorate and interest rates expected to continue trending upwards, we expect Sea to continue its downtrend until its valuation multiples reach the pre-pandemic low level.

51job’s Improved $61 Offer Gets the Board Onside

By Arun George

  • The consortium has improved the offer price by 6.6% to $61.00 in cash per ADS. The consortium represents 54.9% of the voting rights.
  • The Board intends to recommend shareholders vote in favour of the transaction. The transaction is expected to close during the first half of 2022.
  • The combination of the improved offer price and the tech shares sell-off improves the chance of meeting the two-thirds shareholder approval threshold. At last close, the gross spread is 7.0%. 

The Current Huge Gap of VGA Card Demand over Supply May Reverse in 2H22/2023

By Henry King

  • 1H22 is likely the peak for VGA card. Our checks with VGA card makers indicate VGA card price fell in January/February and likely to continue for the rest of 2022. 
  • Potential supply surge, demand decline, and price drop will all lead VGA market to trend south in 2H22.
  • VGA makers will be negatively impacted in 2H22. Gigabyte may be hit the most whereas Asustek may hit the least. Nvidia should also be hit at a certain degree.

Will Samsung Follow Apple and Be Forced to Stop Selling Smartphones in Russia Due to FDPR Rule?

By Douglas Kim

  • On 2 March, it was reported in numerous media that Apple Inc will stop all product sales in Russia. This is a measure in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
  • The US-led Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR) regulation may force a more stringent sanction that could force Samsung to stop selling smartphones in Russia. 
  • Despite these concerns about FDPR, the decision as to whether to totally block Samsung’s smartphone sales to Russia has not been finalized. 

KYEC (2449.TT): A Slow 1Q22 Is Likely to Occur, Which Could Present an Entry Point.

By Patrick Liao

  • It is usually the low season in the 1st quarter, and we expect the revenue/GM is about NT$8.55bn/25.5% in 1Q22 respectively.    
  • KYEC’s main clients are MediaTek, NVDA, XLNX and etc., and some demands in Automotive also rising up quickly.
  • In real terms, the shareholder might receive the same dividend amount of about NT$2.5+ for 2021. We think it likely targets a 5% dividend yield.

HANA: 2022 Net Profit to Grow Despite Additional Costs

By Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

  • Analyst meeting came out with negative tone. The company’s Korean SiC segment will continue to incur costs throughout 2022.However, the 45% tumble in share price since Nov’21 factored in negative 
  • We expect 22E core profit will remain flat YoY at Bt2.3bn. Additional costs and microchip shortages will offset the growth from capacity expansion.
  • Bleak outlook until 3Q22. Additional costs will drag core earnings until 3Q22. Current share prices are cheap and provide opportunity for share accumulation.

Mindtree: Robust Multi-Pronged Strategy To Capitalize On Healthy Demand

By Axis Direct

  • Mindtree has a focused strategy to capitalize on the demand scenario. The company intends to focus on five verticals
  • The management also has a strong focus on developing expertise in four service lines including Customer Success, Data Intelligence, Cloud, and Enterprises IT
  • We recommend a BUY on the stock and assign 38x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 140.2/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 5,310/share, implying an upside potential of 39% from the CMP
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ARLO: Accelerating Growth Story, PT to $15

By Hamed Khorsand

  • ARLO has proven its service business model can be profitable and is now planning to invest more in growth initiatives to drive market share gains to add paid subscribers faster
  • The faster than expected pace has given ARLO the means to strategically invest in its business to accelerate its service revenue. 
  • Looking ahead to the end of 2022, ARLO could be on the cusp of nearly 2 million paid subscribers before realizing the benefits of the increased marketing

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