Daily BriefsTMT/Internet

TMT: Money Forward, ByteDance, Activision Blizzard, Sezzle Inc, Tencent, Grab, Pine Labs, Phison Electronics, Arqit Quantum, Infosys Ltd and more

In today’s briefing:

  • TOPIX Index Upweights: The Big April Basket 2022 (Pre-Event)
  • Bytedance Tearsheet – Doesn’t Need Much of an Introduction
  • MergerTalk: Microsoft/Activision Blizzard-Why We Think This Transaction May Not Be Such A Gamble
  • Zip To Merge With BNPL Rival Sezzle
  • Tencent (700 HK): Besieged Game Business
  • Grab Earnings Preview: Recovery Ahead
  • Pine Labs Tearsheet – Driving a PoS Payment Revolution
  • Phison (8299.TT): Insistence in NAND Flash Technology
  • The Battle Between Quantum Supremacy and Encryption
  • Pick of the Week – Infosys Ltd.

TOPIX Index Upweights: The Big April Basket 2022 (Pre-Event)

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) calculates Free-Float Weight (FFW) for each listed company and uses this value as a key component of TOPIX Index Calculation. 
  • For companies with “low liquidity” the FFW will be multiplied by a fixed liquidity factor of 0.75 to derive the final FFW used for index calculation. 
  • Every April, the application of this liquidity factor is reviewed by the TSE for all TSE1 constituents. This situation opens up interesting opportunities for a basket trade. 

Bytedance Tearsheet – Doesn’t Need Much of an Introduction

By Sumeet Singh

  • Bytedance doesn’t need a whole lot of introduction as it runs one of the most popular global apps, TikTok, and one of the largest domestic apps in China, Douyin.
  • The company undertook a funding round in Dec 2020, which valued the company at around US$180bn. Its valuation has touched US$425 bn in June 2021 in private market transactions. 
  • Rumours about listing have been doing the rounds since as far back as 2019. Although there are no confirmed listing plans.

MergerTalk: Microsoft/Activision Blizzard-Why We Think This Transaction May Not Be Such A Gamble

By Robert Sassoon

  • Microsoft’s all cash acquisition of video game publisher Activision Blizzard is the biggest in the former’s history and the largest ever transaction in the video gaming sector.
  • While intense regulatory scrutiny of the deal is expected, the arguments favoring high odds for eventual deal approval are reasonable. 
  • We believe the 17% merger spread offers the prospect of  double-digits annualized return over the next 12 to 18 months.

Zip To Merge With BNPL Rival Sezzle

By David Blennerhassett

  • Zip (Z1P AU) is offering 0.98 Zip shares for every Sezzle (SZL AU) share, a 22% premium to last close.  Zip is raising $148.7mn to fund the deal.
  • Sezzle is incorporated in Delaware, therefore the merger is subject to those takeover rules, not ASX rules. 
  • Zip reported a $214.3mn today.  As Quinlan Associates put it, the Asia Pacific BNPL industry is more like “Buy Now, Pray Later”. 

Tencent (700 HK): Besieged Game Business

By Ming Lu

  • Short video has been taking time on site from game players.
  • Main games are shrinking, but the authorities have not been granting license to new games.
  • The authorities also banned Chinese players from playing with overseas game players.

Grab Earnings Preview: Recovery Ahead

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Grab (GRAB US) is currently trading at US$5.80 per share, more than 50.0% below its IPO price of US$13.06 per share.
  • The company’s mobility business was severely impacted due to the pandemic and has not yet recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Grab is reporting 4Q2021E results on Thursday (03rd March).
  • As most of the countries in the SEA region opens up economies with Omicron-related fears fading, we expect gradual recovery in mobility business which should help re-rate Grab’s shares upwards.

Pine Labs Tearsheet – Driving a PoS Payment Revolution

By Sumeet Singh

  • Pine Labs is a leading merchant commerce platform. It provides a merchant platform and software for point of sales machines.
  • Its Feb 22 round was said to have been done at a rumored valuation of over US$5bn.
  • In Jan 2022, the company filed confidentially for an initial public offering worth $500m with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

Phison (8299.TT): Insistence in NAND Flash Technology

By Patrick Liao

  • We estimate Phison could reach NT$14.1bn sales and GM 25% outlook in 1Q22.
  • For 2022, it stars with a good beginning for 5~10% NAND price lifted, and Phison’s insistence on NAND Flash controller technology and allied with AMD.
  • Phison would maintain its solid dividend policy and it’s 80% in the past. It was ~NT$63 EPS in 2021. 

The Battle Between Quantum Supremacy and Encryption

By subSPAC

  • The recent invasion of Ukraine by Russia was preceded by a wave of cyberattacks that took down the country’s Websites, Wiped Data, and Blocked Access to Key Communication Tools.
  • Cryptography and Encryption standards that are currently used industry-wide can be easily brute-forced by quantum computers
  • Arqit aims to combat the rise in quantum computing by offering a quantum encryption platform as a service.

Pick of the Week – Infosys Ltd.

By Edelweiss

  • Infosys is India’s second-largest provider of consulting and IT services to clients across the globe
  • It is also among the fastest-growing IT services organization in the world and leader in the offshore services space having pioneered the Global Delivery Model
  • The company provides business consulting, application development and maintenance, and engineering services to 1,738 active clients
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