In this briefing:
- StubWorld: Naspers’ Restructuring Update
- Huya Placement: Best Performing Live Streaming Stock but Beware Douyu Is Catching Up
- Ruhnn (如涵) Trading Update – Worst First-Day Performance Out of Recent US ADR Listings
- Naspers: Addressing the Discount (Again). New Moves to Realize Value Are Having an Impact
- Alibaba (BABA): Weakest Business Line Transfers Risk to Suppliers and Cuts Headcount, 38% Upside
1. StubWorld: Naspers’ Restructuring Update
This week in StubWorld …
- Naspers Ltd (NPN SJ)‘s discount to NAV narrows as it teases out more information on spinning-off and separately listing Tencent Holdings (700 HK).
Preceding my comments on Naspers are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold – the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent – of at least 20%.
2. Huya Placement: Best Performing Live Streaming Stock but Beware Douyu Is Catching Up
Huya, a leading live streaming player in China, announced share placement of USD 550 million after market close on April 3rd. In this insight, we will look at recent developments of Huya and score the deal in our ECM Framework.
3. Ruhnn (如涵) Trading Update – Worst First-Day Performance Out of Recent US ADR Listings
Ruhnn Holding Ltd (RUHN US) raised US$125m at US$12.50 per share, the mid-point of the price range. We have previously analyzed the IPO in:
- Ruhnn (如涵) IPO Review – Expensive Influence
- Ruhnn (如涵) Pre-IPO Review- Significant Concentration Risk
In this insight, we will update on the deal dynamics, implied valuation, and include a valuation sensitivity table.
4. Naspers: Addressing the Discount (Again). New Moves to Realize Value Are Having an Impact
Naspers (NPN SJ) recently announced another attempt to reduce the holdco discount which has remained stubbornly high despite previous attempts by management to reduce it. Since the announcement there has been movement, so perhaps this time it really is different!
So what is being done? Naspers will spin off its international internet assets, which account for >99% of its value, into a newco. They will then list 25% of newco on the Euronext in Amsterdam by issuing these shares to Naspers’ shareholders. The intention is to create a vehicle which can attract increased foreign and tech investors without the complication of a South African listing. The company believes this has been a key factor behind the wide holdco discount. The move also reduces Naspers weighting in South African indices which is another contributing factor.
Alastair Jones sees the announcement as a positive, although there are still issues with the main listing being in South Africa. He still believes a buyback would be the most effective way to reduce the discount, but Naspers is also keen to keep investing.
5. Alibaba (BABA): Weakest Business Line Transfers Risk to Suppliers and Cuts Headcount, 38% Upside
* Youku, the online TV subsidiary of BABA, is transforming its risk of loss to content providers.
* Youku is dismissing employees.
* We believe both of Youku’s decisions are positive for cost control and the operating margin will recover in FY2020.
* The P/E band suggests a price target HKD250, which is 38% upside above the market price.
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