Thailand

Brief Thailand: Delta Electronics (DELTA TB): Little Option but to Accept the Tender Offer and more

In this briefing:

  1. Delta Electronics (DELTA TB): Little Option but to Accept the Tender Offer
  2. Politics, Uncertainty and Bad Policy: The Third Wheels of Profits and the Investment Cycle

1. Delta Electronics (DELTA TB): Little Option but to Accept the Tender Offer

Shareholding

Delta Electronics (2308 TT) (DEI) launched the conditional voluntary tender offer for Delta Electronics Thai (DELTA TB) (Delta), an electronics contract manufacturer, on 26 February 2019. The tender offer of THB71.00 cash per share values Delta at an EV of THB72 billion ($2.2 billion).

Delta and DEI have close links as they were both founded by billionaire Bruce Cheng. Consequently, the tender offer could be viewed as a mechanism for the Chen family to sell their stake to a “friendly” DEI. For minority shareholders, we believe that DEI’s tender offer is reasonable and it makes little sense for minority shareholders to hold on to their shares.

2. Politics, Uncertainty and Bad Policy: The Third Wheels of Profits and the Investment Cycle

G%20logic

Our positive view of the Asian region in 2018 was not reflected in stock market performance. But now is not the time to discard fundamentals and fundamental analysis. Unlike the US, the Asian region is in the early stages of a profit upcycle. As we have argued on many occasions, that is the building block required to kick start the investment cycle. But theoretical explanations of the growth process aside, is there any empirical support for the argument that profits and investment, and therefore growth, are related? We would answer in the affirmative and, in the following report, we try to show how the process works and where Asia stands on two of our Austrian Stress Indicators (ASIs). Market volatility aside, the conditions for good growth gains are firmly in place in most of the region.

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