Daily BriefsThailand

Thailand: RS PCL, Siam Wellness Group, Home Product Center, Advanced Info Service, KCE Electronics PCL, Chularat Hospital, Carabao Group and more

In today’s briefing:

  • RS: Strengthening Entertainmerce Portfolio
  • SPA: Expect Earnings to Turn Positive from 4Q22 Onwards
  • Home Product Center (HMPRO.BK) – Recovery Begins
  • ADVANC: 5G Mass Adoption Will Lead to ARPU Growth This Year
  • KCE: Revise 2022 TP Down by 7% to Reflect Short-Term Issues
  • CHG: Pivot Focus to Organic Growth in 2022
  • CBG: Expect 4Q21 Earnings to Recover QoQ

RS: Strengthening Entertainmerce Portfolio

By Research Group at Country Group Securities

  • We have a positive view toward the acquisition of Unilever’s direct sales business as it align with the company’s business strategy to strengthen Entertainmerce business especially on outbound sales. Excluding 
  • Our expectation over earnings recovery in 2022E will be driven by 1.) 35% revenue growth supported by recovery of existing MPC segments and consolidation of ULife,2.) an absence of heavy 
  • We expect RS to post 4Q21 net loss at Bt10m (compared with Bt0.9m loss in 3Q21 and Bt103m profit in 4Q20).

SPA: Expect Earnings to Turn Positive from 4Q22 Onwards

By Research Group at Country Group Securities

  • We expect SPA to incur the seven consecutive loss quarter in 4Q21 at Bt69m due to its operation below EBIT breakeven level.
  • We expect operating loss to be lower both YoY and QoQ due to more efficient cost and expense management.
  • Meanwhile, we expect 4Q21 revenue at Bt40m (-51%YoY, +209%QoQ), which will be affected by weak domestic demand.

Home Product Center (HMPRO.BK) – Recovery Begins

By Maybank Investment Banking Group Research

  • Share price lags as earnings bias turns positive
  • 4Q21 likely up YoY and significantly higher QoQ
  • Earnings bias positive

HMPRO’s share price has begun to recover, rising 8% in the past 12 months but underperforming the SET by 2ppt. We expect a strong recovery in 4Q21, building up to a greater potential rebound in 2022. The earnings bias is currently positive, underpinned by resumption of store expansion (2-4/yr), strong renovation demand and a potential pick-up in residential project launches. Thus the 1.19x 1-yr PEG is attractive. Re-iterate BUY with a DCF-based TP of THB16.9 (7.5% WACC, 3.6% G).


ADVANC: 5G Mass Adoption Will Lead to ARPU Growth This Year

By Research Group at Country Group Securities

  • Maintain our HOLD rating at Bt227,based on DCF implying 24xPE’22.Current share price already factored in positive outlook on 5G development and ARPU uplift. We believe ADVANC will see steady 5G
  • Expect blended ARPU will show positive growth in 1Q22onwards. ADVANC expects postpaid ARPU to increase from mass 5G adoption that will occur in 2022-23.Prepaid segment continue seeing intense pricing war
  • As of now, we believe ADVANC’s 2022 net profit will steadily increase from the gradual recovery in tourism and the reversal in ARPU from 5G subscribers.

KCE: Revise 2022 TP Down by 7% to Reflect Short-Term Issues

By Research Group at Country Group Securities

  • Analyst meeting came out with negative tone regarding 22E outlook.We cut our TP by 7% to Bt95.8,derived from 38.4xPE’22E (+1SD of 5Y trading average), to factor in earnings downgrade. But
  • Recent drop in share price factored in concern on rising material costs and delay in launching new factory which should be a short-term issue and should provide opportunity share accumulation
  • We cut our 22E earnings forecast down by 7% to factor in lower margin due to rising copper material costs and lower revenue due to delay in launching new factory.

CHG: Pivot Focus to Organic Growth in 2022

By Research Group at Country Group Securities

  • Upgrade to BUY with a TP of Bt3.9, based on 30xPE’22E,which is its pre-COVID bottom level.The 27% drop in share price from Jul 21 peak priced in concern over 3Q21
  • Expect 4Q21 earnings at Bt854m (+234%YoY,-45%QoQ), decline due to weak revenue growth, and narrow margin.
  • Foresee momentum in 1Q22 arising from the Omicron variant,given the amount of infection patients grew roughly to 7-13k cases per day.Along with vaccines rollout, which should be realize in 1Q22

CBG: Expect 4Q21 Earnings to Recover QoQ

By Research Group at Country Group Securities

  • We reiterate a BUY rating for CBG with a target price of Bt131 based on 35xPE’22E, the average of the Thailand energy drink stocks.
  • We expect CBG to post 4Q21 net profit of Bt674m (-23%YoY, +12%QoQ), a recovery from the lowest level in the past nine quarters in 3Q21.
  • We foresee 2022E earnings to hit the record high at Bt3.7bn (+32%YoY)driven by a solid revenue growth at +25%YoY from recovering sales in Thailand and CLMV market from low base

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