Thailand: Gulf Energy Development Public Company, Central Plaza Hotel, Berli Jucker, PTT Oil and Retail, Somboon Advance Technology P and more

• We maintain our BUY call with a target price of Bt58.0, derived using SOTP methodology, implying 51x PE’22E. The rising gas price has relatively lower impact on GULF’s earnings performance 
• Positive 2Q22 and 2022 outlook,The revenue recognition from GSRC unit 1,2(COD in 2021), unit 3 commencing operation in 2Q22,along with equity income from INTUCH, should drive 2Q22 profit both YoY&QoQ.
• 27% power generation capacity expansion in 2022, including 1.3GW IPP gas power plant (TH), 100MW solar roof top (TH) and 128 MW offshore wind (Vietnam).

• We downgrade to HOLD rating from  BUY rating with TP unchanged at Bt43, derived from  DCF (WACC of 10% and TG of 2%), implying 28.6xPE’23. 
• The company reported a net loss of Bt44m in 1Q22 compared to net loss of Bt476m in 1Q21 and net profit of Bt152m in 4Q21 in line with our expectation.
• 1Q22 EBITDA doubled YoY but remained flat QoQ at Bt951m supported by strong YoY recovery of hotel performance benefitting from 1) Rebound of Thailand tourism 2) Continued strong operations.

• Yesterday analyst meeting came out with slightly positive tone. However, weak short-term performance from rising energy cost and lower consumer purchasing power and limited upside to our target price
• From management guidance, gross profit margin will be decline 50bps YoY in 2022 due to a rising energy cost and raw material in packaging business and consumer supply business. Meanwhile
• We have positive view on medium to long-term performance supported by better modern retail performance (BigC). Currently,BigC market share was at 21% (+1% to 2% YoY) and we expect BigC 

• Yesterday analyst meeting came out in a positive tone. We maintain the HOLD rating with a target price of Bt27.0, derived from an SOTP methodology. Our TP implies 25xPE’22E
• Expect the 2Q22 earnings to improve both YoY and QoQ, on the back of continued oil sales growth  and healthy marketing margin.
• The 2H22 earnings should improve YoY from better sales growth, however oil marketing margin may prone to downside risk as the crude oil price continue to remain at high levels.

• Undemanding valuation and good dividend, BUY
• 1Q22 earnings recovery
• New orders to boost sales growth
• Profit growth seen despite high costs

1Q22 earnings recovered QoQ to THB259m (+44% QoQ, -19% YoY). We expect new orders to help fuel 2022E sales growth of 6.5% YoY. While higher steel costs will initially squeeze gross profit margins, as it takes 3-6 months to hike prices, we expect only a dip in GPM. We forecast FY22 earnings to hit a new high of THB1.032b (+8% YoY). We think SAT’s valuations are undemanding at 7.6x 2022E P/E and 1x P/BV, with a healthy THB3.5b cash on hand. It offers a good dividend yield of 8.6%. Our THB25.50 TP is based on 10-yr average forward P/E of 10.3x. Maintain BUY.