Daily BriefsThailand

Thailand: Bangkok Bank Public, Kasikornbank PCL, Siam Commercial Bank Pub Co and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Bangkok Bank – Positive Credit Turn
  • Kasikornbank (KBANK.BK) – Attractive Valuation
  • KBANK: Growth Momentum Remains Intact
  • Siam Commercial Bank (SCB.BK) – Expects Credit Cost To Decline In Fy22 E
  • SCB: Going More Digital Services

Bangkok Bank – Positive Credit Turn

By Thomas J. Monaco

  • Bangkok Bank reported 4Q21 bottom-line results of THB 6.3 bn, declining THB 591 mn (8.6%) on a linked quarter basis, driven by costs which rose THB 3.5 bn or 21.8%;
  • Outside of expenses, BBL had a pretty solid quarter with net interest income improving and provisions declining; and
  • We find that BBL’s annualized net new NPLs were negative, and that reserves likely will begin being reversed in the near-term.

Kasikornbank (KBANK.BK) – Attractive Valuation

By Maybank Research

  • Our favourite big bank
  • 4Q21 earnings beatBeat MKE or consensus? Please specify in the text our forecast by 25% due to lower credit cost QoQ
  • We expect credit cost to decline further in FY22
  • Loans under debt-relief measures down QoQ in 4Q21

KBANK: Growth Momentum Remains Intact

By Research Group at Country Group Securities

  • We reiterate our BUY rating with a target price at Bt172. Our BUY call reflects (1) steady growth ahead from improving economic recovery; (2) adequate reserves against new NPLs
  • Management forecasted Thai GDP to accelerate to 3.7% YoY in 2022 from an expected rise of 1% in 2021
  • Following the analyst meeting, we remain neutral and maintain our net profit projections for 2022-23

Siam Commercial Bank (SCB.BK) – Expects Credit Cost To Decline In Fy22 E

By Maybank Research

  • Maintain HOLD; prefer KBANK
  • 4Q21 earnings missedMention this in the text and specify who is missed against, ie, MKE or consensus. due to higher credit cost
  • SCB expects credit cost to decline materially in FY22E
  • NIM under pressure due to debt-relief programme

SCB: Going More Digital Services

By Research Group at Country Group Securities

  • Maintain BUY with a target price at Bt149. Our BUY call reflects steady earnings growth, resilient asset quality, and leadership in digital banking services
  • Digital banking services remain a focus ahead. SCB expects moderate lending growth and credit costs to likely decline in 2022.
  • SCB X will offer newly-issued shares and make a tender offer for all of SCB’s shares in 1Q22.

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