Thailand: Advanced Info Service, Jasmine Broadband Internet Infrastructure Fund and more

In today’s briefing:

Jasmine Acquisition To Expand Advanced’s Broadband Footprint

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) intends to acquire Jasmine International PCL (JAS TB) broadband ops (TTTBB) plus a 19% stake in Jasmine Broadband Internet Infrastructure Fund (JASIF TB) from JAS.
AIS will pay Bt 19.5bn for TTTBB and Bt 12.9bn for 19% of JASIF, or Bt 32.4bn (US$908mn) all in. The acquisition will be funded by debt.
The transactions, which are subject to NBTC approval, follow the ongoing regulatory process for True (TRUE TB) / Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)‘s merger. True is Thailand’s largest broadband player.

Downgrade to HOLD fom BUY and cut TP by 28% to Bt8.80 derived form DCF (WACC=8.02%, g=0%) to factor in significant reduction in revenue and dividend from 2023
A non-attractive deal for JASIF shareholders: On July 4th 2022, JAS informed SET that, ADVANC is considering purchase of 99.99% of TTTBB and 19% of total JASIF units at Bt8.5
In that case,The Amended Rental Assurance agreement that generates a superior rental rate of770/km/month will be cancelled which will cause a dip of 30%in the revenue generation of JASIF in2023onwards.

We maintain our BUY rating and TP of Bt259 based on based on DCF,representing 26.4xPE’22E. Analyst meeting yesterday on ADVANC’s acquisition of TTTBB and JASIF units came with positive tone
The deal should be highly favorable for ADVANC:We believe that the entire transaction could provide a 8.5% upside to our current forecasted 23E EPS through Adjusted EPS, leading to Bt11.54/share.
2Q22E earnings will keep 22E earnings on track We believe that 2Q22E net profit will be at Bt6.5bn(-7% YoY, +4% QoQ).Seasonal low costs, despite high competition, will lead to QoQ

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