In this briefing:
- S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still
- S&P Directional Break Points
- Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support
1. S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance…Still
The S&P 500 is beginning to come off of short-term overbought extremes, consolidating near the confluence of key overhead resistance and the 200-day moving average. This level is roughly 2,817 on the S&P 500 and roughly 1,000 on the S&P 600 Small Cap index. Some consolidation or a mild pullback is possible in the near-term, which we believe would help alleviate current overbought readings and allow for a more orderly and meaningful move higher. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Services Sectors.
2. S&P Directional Break Points
S&P key outside day reversal sets the tone for a correction as the RSI is now breaking below trend support and a key downside trigger. This is the second reversal registered in the key 2,815-20 macro pivot zone.
Uptick resistance points below 2,820 are laid out as well as downsize pivot levels that once broken would induce a higher momentum decline.
Any break above SPX 2,820 would induce a short squeeze and we outlined a sector pair that would reward in such an event.
From now until the end of March it will be hard for bull momentum to remain intact given the bulk of good news is now priced in.
3. Bharti Airtel Buy on Short Lived Breach Below Support
Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN) corrective cycle does not appear complete with risk of a final spike lower below key pivot support. It is this crack lower that we want to take advantage of.
Sell volume spike implies the flat range will break lower.
Daily cycle triangulation sides with a press below pivot support. An upside break of this triangle would trigger a tactical long but would lack needed gas for a sustainable drive.
Weekly MACD is seeking a bottoming/basing cycle that will turn the cycle higher once we see a final capitulation spike below pivot support as we did back in 2008, 2010 and 2012.
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