In this briefing:
1. Brent Oil Fresh Short Levels and Macro Sequence into 2020
Brent’s rise from 52 support has so far fallen in line with a corrective rise that is starting to run out of steam. In this webcast we outline key pivot levels to buy and where we see a rally exhausting ahead of a fresh re test on lower support levels.
Oil peaked in line with our call for a macro top to form into October 2018 Oil Stall for Roll into Brent for a Final High . WTI and Brent Moving into Our Macro Peak Zone with a WTI 58 Target .
Oil remains a good barometer of global growth, which is set to slow into the summer and more so in 2020. Oil will also respond to a improved sentiment on China/US trade. Venezuela’s supply concerns failed to induce any real reaction as major players appear to be building short positions into strength. Tactically, oil is reaching for a minor new high and the failure to rally on potential supply constraints does play into a pending cycle peak.
We run through our tactical sequence as well as our macro view into 2020 (more bearish).
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