In today’s briefing:
- KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Se7en Changes
- KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes in June
- KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Noteworthy Names for Passive, Shorting, & Short Covering Flows
- KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing Results: Passive Flows & Basket Trading Candidates
- Additions & Deletions to KOSPI 200 and Trading Strategies Post Announcement
- 3 Major Reasons Why Samsung and KOSPI Are Outperforming Other Global Peers & Country Equity Indices
KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Se7en Changes
- There will be 7 additions and 7 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 9 June.
- We got all 7 inclusions right and 5 of the 7 deletions right. The adds have 3-6 days ADV to buy, while the deletes have 4-12 days ADV to sell.
- Short interest on the deletions is a significant portion of the estimated passive selling and there could be short covering in the week leading up to implementation of the changes.
KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes in June
- There are 12 inclusions and 12 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.
- Most of the inclusions were expected, but there are quite a few surprises among the deletions. The impact on the deletions will be higher than that on the inclusions.
- The adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been another leg up in the last couple of weeks. Expect the trend to continue till implementation week.
KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Noteworthy Names for Passive, Shorting, & Short Covering Flows
- SD Biosensor leads the addition group with an estimated inflow of 4.59x ADTV. SK Discovery and Yungjin Pharmaceutical have the most substantial outflow at 7.23x and 6.07x ADTVs, respectively.
- For short-covering, CJ CGV stands out the most at this point. Its short interest is 4.57% of SO, and the short interest has increased the most of late.
- For short resumption, two names stand out: Meritz Fire and Hana Tour.
KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing Results: Passive Flows & Basket Trading Candidates
- The additions are primarily in line with the predictions. But, the deletions contain many surprises. Webzen is the biggest surprise. Echo Marketing should also surprise a lot of fund trackers.
- Creas F&C will face the most substantial passive inflow at 4.08x ADTV, closely followed by Unitest. But factoring in liquidity, WYSIWYG Studios will likely draw the most attention
- JNTC will suffer the most among the deletions. However, Webzen will likely be in the limelight as its outflow is by far the largest at ₩8.6B, equivalent to 3.84x ADTV.
Additions & Deletions to KOSPI 200 and Trading Strategies Post Announcement
- Korea Exchange announced the additions and deletions to KOSPI200 today.
- There were no major surprises with regards to the additions and deletions.
- SK Discovery is a potential buy candidate and Hana Tour Service is a potential sell candidate post the announcement of KOSPI200 additions and deletions.
3 Major Reasons Why Samsung and KOSPI Are Outperforming Other Global Peers & Country Equity Indices
- One of the curious share price movements this year has been the outperformance of Samsung Electronics versus other global tech peers including Apple, TSMC, Intel, and Xiaomi.
- Three reasons why Samsung is outperforming global peers such as Apple and TSMC may due to a potential war in Taiwan, COVID lockdown in Shanghai, and new pro-business Korean President.
- Caution is warranted on playing long/short on Samsung, Apple, and TSMC in the coming months as their tides appear to be driven too much by the whims of global politics.
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