In this briefing:
- Procurri: Exit DeClout, Enter Novo Tellus. Company Remains Highly Undervalued at 4.4x 2018 EV/EBITDA
- AEM Holdings: FY18 Results Solid; Decent FY19 Outlook; Upside Could Come from Huawei and Novoflex
1. Procurri: Exit DeClout, Enter Novo Tellus. Company Remains Highly Undervalued at 4.4x 2018 EV/EBITDA
Procurri Corporation (PROC SP) released FY18 results which showed the company growing revenues to 220M SGD (+21% vs FY17), EBITDA to 19.7M SGD (+185% vs FY17), PBT to 10.1M SGD (vs 2.3M loss in 2017) and a small net profit of 5.3M SGD which was artificially low because of an astronomical 47% tax rate. The high tax rate should reverse in 2H19 which would show the reported profitability of Procurri improve substantially.
Procurri remains deep value trading at just 4.4x 2018 EV/EBITDA and 0.4x 2018 EV/Sales. If we adjust the FY18 net profit figure(assume 30% tax rate vs 47%) the shares trade at a P/E multiple of just 13x.
The shareholder register of Procurri has seen a dramatic change YTD with multiple announcements on SGX. The most significant development is the entry of Singapore PE fund Novo Tellus acquiring a 29.6% stake on 19/2/19. Consequently this means that the biggest corporate overhang on Procurri (read: the control by Declout Ltd (DLL SP) ) is now almost over with their stake reduced to 17% from 47% previously.
Novo Tellus paid 0.33 SGD for the 29.6% stake which should now be a floor valuation for Procurri going forward.
Given the well-publicized track record of Novo Tellus at SGX listed Aem Holdings (AEM SP) the question is if Novo Tellus sees another multi-bagger in the making?
While a “10-bagger” type return like AEM is unlikely at Procurri, doubling the market cap from 90M to 180M SGD would not be impossible as Procurri continues to grow in FY19 and the depressed multiple expands modestly.
2. AEM Holdings: FY18 Results Solid; Decent FY19 Outlook; Upside Could Come from Huawei and Novoflex
Aem Holdings (AEM SP) reported solid FY18 results and gave a decent outlook for FY19. Customer concentration remains high (85%+ of revenues linked to one of biggest IT companies globally) but new growth opportunities with Huawei and Novoflex could potentially add meaningfully to earnings and customer diversification as of FY20.
The balance sheet remains strong (58M SGD net cash) and should be further utilized for M&A to complement the current product offering.
Given the large change in the shareholder register over the past twelve months (after Novo Tellus distributed the shares to its LPs) free float is now 83% with Aberdeen and UBS among the largest shareholders. The high free float and low market cap make AEM a prime takeover candidate the coming 2-3 years.
Fair Value of 2.1 SGD remains unchanged (based on just 2x revenue or 10x FY2020 EV/EBITDA).
Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma
Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.
