In today’s briefing:
- FTSE TWSE Taiwan Dividend+ Index Rebalance Preview: 46% One-Way Turnover and US$5bn Two-Way Trade
- FTSE All-World/All-Cap Index Rebalance: Watch Golden Agri-Resources & Delhivery
- Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes
- Sapporo Holdings: Activist Investor, 3D Investment Partners Is Just A Few Steps From Turning Hostile
- FTSE TWSE Dividend+ Dec 22 Quiddity Final Expectations: Crucial Shift in Tracking AUM a GAME CHANGER
- FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index Rebalance Preview: Far Eastern Could Replace AUO
- Link Admin’s In-Specie Distribution of PEXA: Active Selling Followed by Passive Buying
- Meritz Merger Event: Swap Conditions, Spread Arb Trade, & K200 Flow Implementation
- FTSE TWSE 50 & 100 Dec 22 Final Expectations: Greatek Is Still the Main Talking Point
- Lifestyle (1212 HK)’s Scheme Gets Up
FTSE TWSE Taiwan Dividend+ Index Rebalance Preview: 46% One-Way Turnover and US$5bn Two-Way Trade
- Today is the review cutoff for dividend data and stock prices that will be used to select the inclusions and exclusions as well as for capping of index weights.
- We see 26 adds and 5 deletes for the index at the December rebalance resulting in one-way turnover of 46% and a one-way trade of TWD 78.1bn (US$2.51bn).
- Passive trackers will need to buy over 5 days of ADV on 15 stocks and sell over 5 days of ADV on 19 stocks and this will present trading opportunities.
FTSE All-World/All-Cap Index Rebalance: Watch Golden Agri-Resources & Delhivery
- For Asia Pacific, there are 2 adds to the FTSE All-World Index, 2 adds to the FTSE All-Cap Index and 2 deletions from the FTSE All-World Index.
- All changes are on expected lines. The one surprise is the non-inclusion of Rainbow Children’s Hospital (RAINBOW IN) to the All-Cap Index where it likely just failed investable market cap.
- Sungeel Hitech (365340 KS) is also an add to the KOSDAQ 150 Index at the close on 8 December, while there is a huge lock-up expiry for Delhivery (DELHIVER IN).
Hang Seng TECH Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes
- As expected, there are no adds or deletes for the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December. However, there are plenty of capping and float changes to drive flows.
- The December rebalance is expected to have a one-way turnover of 2.3% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$1.9bn.
- Short interest is greater than 5% of float on a few stocks and a continued recovering in markets could lead to a squeeze higher.
Sapporo Holdings: Activist Investor, 3D Investment Partners Is Just A Few Steps From Turning Hostile
- Following a couple of investor-activism campaigns against Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) and Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), Singapore-based Japan-focused activist investor, 3D-Investment-Partners seems to be turning its attention towards Sapporo.
- Earlier this month, 3D Investment Partners requested Sapporo’s outside directors to postpone the announcement of the new Medium Term Plan until they hear out opinions and new ideas from shareholders.
- We believe that there’s a chance that 3D Investment Partners could turn hostile as Sapporo Holdings (2501 JP) seems to be completely ignoring the activist investor’s requests and proposals.
FTSE TWSE Dividend+ Dec 22 Quiddity Final Expectations: Crucial Shift in Tracking AUM a GAME CHANGER
- In October 2022, FTSE Russell confirmed that the number of constituents in the FTSE TWSE Taiwan Dividend+ Index will be increased from 30 to 50 during the December 2022 Rebalance.
- Considering the combined effect of expected index changes and capping flows, there could be 27 potential inflows names and 28 potential outflow names with total one-way flow size of US$2.45bn.
- There are multiple names on both sides with several days of volume to trade.
FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index Rebalance Preview: Far Eastern Could Replace AUO
- Today is the review cutoff and we expect Far Eastern New Century (1402 TT) to replace AU Optronics (2409 TT) in the FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 Index in December.
- Passive Taiwan 50 trackers will need to buy nearly 6 days ADV on Far Eastern New Century (1402 TT) and sell 1.6 days of ADV on AU Optronics (2409 TT).
- There will be same way flows from the FTSE TWSE Taiwan Dividend+ Index trackers and will substantially add to the impact on the stocks.
Link Admin’s In-Specie Distribution of PEXA: Active Selling Followed by Passive Buying
- Link Administration (LNK AU) is selling 10% of its shareholding in PEXA Group (PXA) and plans to proceed with an in-specie distribution of the remainder to Link shareholders in January.
- The increased float will make PEXA Group (PXA AU) the highest ranked non-index constituent and that should result in inclusion to the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in March.
- There could be selling on PEXA Group (PXA AU) from Link Administration (LNK AU) shareholders following the distribution. Then the passive flows will kick in and support the stock.
Meritz Merger Event: Swap Conditions, Spread Arb Trade, & K200 Flow Implementation
- The last trading day to secure appraisal rights is today (the 22nd). You must buy stocks by today to make arb trade possible using appraisal rights.
- We should consider LONG FINANCIAL SHORT FIRE/SECURITIES. KSD allows us to maintain borrowed stocks of the target company without redemption procedures if new stocks are listed after the merger.
- K200 trackers will have to buy in for FIRE at the close on January 27, whereas SECURITIES will be on March 31. We should design a setup targeting this preemptively.
FTSE TWSE 50 & 100 Dec 22 Final Expectations: Greatek Is Still the Main Talking Point
- The base date for the December 2022 index review FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50 and Taiwan Mid-Cap 100 for the December 2022 Rebalance is today (21st November 2022).
- In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity’s final predictions for expected ADDs/DELs for the December 2022 index review.
- I expect one change for the Taiwan 50 Index and one change for the Taiwan Mid-Cap 100 index.
Lifestyle (1212 HK)’s Scheme Gets Up
- Independent shareholders of Lifestyle International Holdings (1212 HK) comfortably voted through the Scheme resolution.
- 94.93% of stakeholders present (and via proxy) voted FOR, with 5.07% voting AGAINST.
- The last day of trading is the 6 December with payment expected on or before the 30 December.
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