Macro

Daily Macro: Are US Stocks A Buy Yet? and more

In this briefing:

  1. Are US Stocks A Buy Yet?

1. Are US Stocks A Buy Yet?

Usra

  • 5%-like rallies on Wall Street are signs of a bear market not a bull market
  • Bull markets require strong liquidity and low risk appetite, neither yet apply
  • Risk appetite readings at minus 12.6 are still above the minus 40 criterion for an upturn
  • Recent large fall in risk appetite consistent with upcoming economic recession

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