Macro

Brief Macro: The Nascent Democratic Primary: ‘How Best to Beat Trump?’ and more

In this briefing:

  1. The Nascent Democratic Primary: ‘How Best to Beat Trump?’

1. The Nascent Democratic Primary: ‘How Best to Beat Trump?’

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Campaigning is underway in the Democratic Party’s lengthy ‘primary’ process for determining a 2020 presidential nominee.  Polls suggest that ousting President Donald Trump is the foremost priority for most supporters of the party.  Relative to past elections, the party boasts an extraordinarily diverse and energetic field of declared and potential contenders.  Meanwhile, the president is clearly vulnerable. 

Much depends, however, on whether the eventual challenger combines relatively centrist economic views with a persona that can bridge America’s yawning cultural divide.  Because of the country’s anachronistic electoral‑college system, a nominee remote from the mainstream could alienate independents in ‘swing states’ and inadvertently aid Trump.  Attention is therefore focusing on the questions of who can beat Trump – and how. 

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