Macro

Brief Macro: Global Capital Flows Show China’s Collapsing Export Markets Could Soon Revive and more

In this briefing:

  1. Global Capital Flows Show China’s Collapsing Export Markets Could Soon Revive

1. Global Capital Flows Show China’s Collapsing Export Markets Could Soon Revive

Shipping

  • Capital flows are strongly Granger causal
  • Gross capital flows lead World shipping activity by 4 months
  • Capital flows have been slowly rising since June 2018: in February they jumped
  • Reinforces out pro-Asia and pro-China investment message

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