Macro

Brief Macro: FLASH: UK PMIs Pare Some Excess Pain in Feb-19 and more

In this briefing:

  1. FLASH: UK PMIs Pare Some Excess Pain in Feb-19

1. FLASH: UK PMIs Pare Some Excess Pain in Feb-19

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  • The pace of UK activity growth implied by the services PMI picked up amid a surprise rebound to 51.3. It remains gloomy relative to the official data, consistent with the survey’s bias to exaggerate uncertainty’s depressing effect.
  • A slight slowing in comparable sectors is still likely, but I maintain my relatively bullish forecast for 1Q19 GDP growth of 0.3% q-o-q, albeit close to rounding down.

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