In this briefing:
1. FLASH: UK PMIs Pare Some Excess Pain in Feb-19
- The pace of UK activity growth implied by the services PMI picked up amid a surprise rebound to 51.3. It remains gloomy relative to the official data, consistent with the survey’s bias to exaggerate uncertainty’s depressing effect.
- A slight slowing in comparable sectors is still likely, but I maintain my relatively bullish forecast for 1Q19 GDP growth of 0.3% q-o-q, albeit close to rounding down.
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