Macro

Brief Macro: ECB, BoJ Suck Wind – EA Threatened with Japanisation and more

In this briefing:

  1. ECB, BoJ Suck Wind – EA Threatened with Japanisation
  2. India Monthly Report: Jan’19 – Feb’19

1. ECB, BoJ Suck Wind – EA Threatened with Japanisation

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By Charles Dumas, Chief Economist

  • Monetary stimulus fails export-dependent savings glut countries
  • Japan now accepts huge budget deficits and negative interest rates
  • EA needs broad structural reform to avoid Japan’s deep malaise

 

2. India Monthly Report: Jan’19 – Feb’19

Gsec%20jan'19

Indian indices were the least performing among the select global indices with S&P BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 generating returns of 0.01% and negative 0.73% in domestic terms respectively. In Dollar terms they fell by 2.18% and 2.89% respectively. Indian Rupee witnessed deprecation of 2.18% during the period and fell from 69.40 USD/ INR to 70.95 USD/ INR. Among the select indices, Hang Seng was the best performer with dollar returns of 10.89% and among the select currencies, South African Rand was the best performing with an appreciation of 7.88%.

Performance of Select Indices during Jan’19
IndexReturns in Domestic Currency Returns in USD
S&P BSE SENSEX0.01%-2.18%
NIFTY 50-0.73%-2.89%
Nikkei 2256.19%6.84%
Dow Jones Industrial Average7.08%7.08%
HANG SENG11.19%10.89%
FTSE 1003.49%7.06%

Among the Sectoral indices, Nifty Pharma was the best performing with returns of 4.91% in dollar terms and Nifty Realty was the worst performing with falling by 17.41%

Performance of Indian Sectoral Indices during Jan’19
INR Returns
USD Returns
NIFTY PHARMA
7.25%
4.91%
NIFTY IT
0.67%
-1.52%
NIFTY FMCG
-0.35%
-2.53%
NIFTY FIN SERVICE
-0.64%
-2.81%
NIFTY PVT BANK
-1.97%
-4.11%
NIFTY BANK
-2.10%
-4.24%
NIFTY AUTO
-3.55%
-5.66%
NIFTY METAL
-3.77%
-5.87%
NIFTY MEDIA
-7.00%
-9.03%
NIFTY PSU BANK
-10.50%
-12.45%
NIFTY REALTY
-15.57%
-17.41%

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