Daily BriefsMacro

Macro: UK: Retail Durables Knocked Out by Costs and more

In today’s briefing:

  • UK: Retail Durables Knocked Out by Costs

UK: Retail Durables Knocked Out by Costs

By Phil Rush

  • Retail sales disappointed by declining again in Feb-22, despite clothing sales surging back towards pre-covid levels. Inflation squeezed out a higher value of spending.
  • Consumers will need to prioritise essentials while avoiding expensive discretionary commitments. Confidence in the climate for major purchases has already collapsed.
  • Real incomes face severe erosion in 2022, and we still expect consumers to reflect that hit in volumes again rather than raising nominal consumption growth.

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