Daily BriefsMacro

Macro: UK: Inflation Springs Surprisingly Far and more

In today’s briefing:

  • UK: Inflation Springs Surprisingly Far
  • Fuel Price Hikes: Brace For Inflation Shock And Aggressive Bi Tightening

UK: Inflation Springs Surprisingly Far

By Phil Rush

  • Inflation broadly exceeded expectations for the sixth consecutive month as it reached 7% on the CPI and 9% on the RPI. The pull up to equilibrium prices continues.
  • Underlying measures are less extreme but have still risen to excessive levels. The energy price cap drives inflation much higher in April to what we still see as the peak.
  • More excess inflation without excess supply is another clear hawkish signal for the MPC. We maintain our forecast for it to deliver a fourth back-to-back rate hike on 5 May.

Fuel Price Hikes: Brace For Inflation Shock And Aggressive Bi Tightening

By Maybank Research

  • (Finally) Raising Fuel Prices
  • Silver Lining: Commodities Boost State Revenue
  • Fiscal Deficit to Stay Elevated in 2022
  • VAT Hike Broadened to Crypto; Carbon Tax Delayed

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma