Daily BriefsMacro

Macro: Three Questions to Ask As Fear Spikes and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Three Questions to Ask As Fear Spikes
  • A 2022 Inflation Tantrum Investment Roadmap

Three Questions to Ask As Fear Spikes

By Cam Hui

  • What will happen to earnings and earnings expectations in the wake of the hot January CPI report that spooked the market? 
  • Fed Funds futures are now discounting a half-point lift-off at the March FOMC meeting. Will the Fed acquiesce or push back against those expectations? 
  • If stock prices were to weaken further, how will insiders react?

A 2022 Inflation Tantrum Investment Roadmap

By Cam Hui

  • Although it’s difficult to precisely time turning points, we suggest investors adopt the following positioning for their portfolios today: Overweight defensive sectors and high quality stocks.
  • Neutral weight high-quality growth, which should be the next market leadership.
  • Underweight value and cyclical stocks for their sensitivity to a hawkish Fed policy.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma