Japan

Brief Japan: Daiwa House REIT Placement – Well-Flagged but Barely Accretive to DPU and more

In this briefing:

  1. Daiwa House REIT Placement – Well-Flagged but Barely Accretive to DPU
  2. GMO Internet Reports Solid FY12/18 Despite Heavy Losses Incurred in Crypto Mining Business

1. Daiwa House REIT Placement – Well-Flagged but Barely Accretive to DPU

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Daiwa House Reit Investment (8984 JP) (DHR) is raising about US$329m in its placement to fund the acquisition of properties.

The deal scores well on our framework owing to strong price and earnings momentum. The assets to be acquired are a good mix of logistics, retail, and hotel. 

However, the properties to be acquired mostly have an NOI yield lower than the average NOI yield of DHR’s existing assets in the respective asset classes. Despite increasing the portfolio value by almost 10%, the ten properties are only expected to be 1.37% accretive to DPU. 

That said, DHR’s acquisition has been well-flagged as it was highlighted in its September presentation.

2. GMO Internet Reports Solid FY12/18 Despite Heavy Losses Incurred in Crypto Mining Business

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GMO Internet, Inc. (9449 JP) announced its consolidated financial results for its full-year FY12/18 yesterday (12th February). Despite heavy losses incurred in the cryptocurrency mining business in FY12/18, GMO managed to achieve a solid year with 20% YoY growth in top-line alongside a 23.5% YoY growth in operating profits. Excluding the crypto losses, the operating profit increased 35.7% YoY, with an OPM of 13.2% compared to 11.4% reported a year ago. For the full-year, the company has reported a net loss of JPY20.7bn as opposed to a net profit of JPY8bn in FY12/17, blaming the crypto losses for the decline. For FY12/18, the management has proposed a dividend of JPY29.5 per share (compared to JPY23 paid in FY12/17) in spite of reporting net losses for the fiscal year. Further, the company has also allocated JPY1.36bn (equivalent to 0.7% of outstanding shares at the current price) for share repurchases in FY2019.

Excluding the Crypto Segment, GMO’s Net Profit Grew 4.1% YoY in FY12/18

JPY (bn)

FY12/17

FY12/18

YoY Change

FY12/18 Excluding Crypto

FY12/18 Excl. Crypto Vs. FY12/17

Consensus

Company Vs. Consensus

Revenue

154.3

185.2

20.1%

180.9

17.3%

183.3

1.0%

Operating Profit

17.6

21.8

23.5%

23.9

35.7%

22.8

-4.5%

OPM

11.4%

11.8%

 

13.2%

12.4%

 

Net Profit

8.0

-20.7

-357.9%

8.4

4.1%

 

 

Source: Company Disclosures, Capital IQ

GMO is currently trading at JPY1,741 per share which we believe is undervalued compared to its combined equity stake in 8 listed subsidiaries. The company share price has lost more than 40% since it peaked in June last year due to the negativity surrounding its cryptocurrency and mining segment. However, we believe further downside is limited as the company has closed down a majority of its mining related business which weighs very little on the consolidated performance of the company. Further, the company’s key businesses, Internet Infrastructure, Online Advertising & Media and Internet Finance generate solid recurring revenues, which should help the company achieve strong growth. Following its earnings announcement, the share price gained 5.6% from the previous days close.

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