Daily BriefsJapan

Japan: Toyota Motor, At Group Co Ltd, Seven & I Holdings, Square Enix Holdings, Contec Co Ltd, Suzuki Motor and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyota – So About That Whole Tesla Being Years Ahead of The Competition in Autonomous Thing…
  • AT Group (8293 JP) MBO – Looks Fully Priced But A Closer Look Is Warranted
  • Seven & I’s Response: Dispels Accusations But Gives in to ValueAct’s Demands
  • Square Enix – A Beat, A Bump and More to Come
  • Daifuku (6383) To Take Out Minorities in Subsidiary Contec (6639)
  • Suzuki – Steady but Nothing Special

Toyota – So About That Whole Tesla Being Years Ahead of The Competition in Autonomous Thing…

By Mio Kato

  • We have pointed out previously that the hype surrounding Tesla’s FSD system was delusional. 
  • We have always regarded their differentiating factor as simply being a greater risk tolerance for endangering the lives of their customers. 
  • However, some automakers are actually making efforts to improve safety… and they actually know what they are doing.

AT Group (8293 JP) MBO – Looks Fully Priced But A Closer Look Is Warranted

By Travis Lundy

  • The CEO and family leader Yamaguchi-san is launching an MBO to take out one of the largest Toyota dealers out there. 
  • Optically, it looks fully-priced, with significant net debt and a 74% takeover premium. A closer look is, however, warranted.
  • This is large enough (despite illiquidity) to be interesting, and it could get interestinger.

Seven & I’s Response: Dispels Accusations But Gives in to ValueAct’s Demands

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP) is down 2.71% today following the company’s response to ValueAct’s public letter.
  • We think this share price move is unwarranted and driven by a false interpretation that Seven & I’s response is a rebuttal.
  • Therefore, we would be using this as an opportunity to add more Seven & I shares.

Square Enix – A Beat, A Bump and More to Come

By Mio Kato

  • We said that we expected MMO Final Fantasy XIV to drive a strong beat and FY OP towards ¥70bn rather than consensus’ ¥55bn. 
  • With 3Q OP of ¥21.0bn easily beating consensus at ¥14.4bn we believe we are nicely on track. 
  • Oh and there were some tidbits about NFTs which should get some segments of the market interested.

Daifuku (6383) To Take Out Minorities in Subsidiary Contec (6639)

By Travis Lundy

  • Daifuku Co Ltd (6383 JP) today (4 Feb) announced it would take out TSE-2 industrial computing/IoT subsidiary Contec Co Ltd (6639 JP) in a tender offer at 55% premium.
  • That looks nice, and should have been expected at some point. But it is only half-generous.
  • The shareholder structure tells you how this is likely to end up.

Suzuki – Steady but Nothing Special

By Mio Kato

  • Suzuki reported its 3QFY22 results on Friday with revenue of ¥901bn (+8.8% QoQ, -0.5% YoY) and OP of ¥47.5bn implying an OPM of 5.3% compared to 5.3% in 2QFY22. 
  • The reported revenue and OP were 3.8% and 5.9% higher than the consensus estimates respectively. 
  • The company revised its full year revenue guidance to ¥3,400bn (¥200bn up from the previous guidance), while OP guidance remained unchanged on ¥170bn.

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