Daily BriefsJapan

Japan: Shiga Bank, Shift Inc, Z Holdings and more

In today’s briefing:

  • JAPAN ACTIVISM:  Silchester Target Shiga Bank Dings the Div Proposal Badly
  • Shift 3Q: Earnings Below Consensus but Heavy Hiring Spend Should Help in the Long Run
  • Z Holdings (Neutral) – PayPay Rebranding of ECommerce; We Remain Cautious in a Rebuilding Year

JAPAN ACTIVISM:  Silchester Target Shiga Bank Dings the Div Proposal Badly

By Travis Lundy

  • In April, Silchester went after Shiga Bank (8366 JP)(JAPAN ACTIVISM:  Silchester Goes After Shiga Bank), with an open letter decrying destruction of shareholder value, asking for a special dividend. 
  • They said Shiga Bank had excess cross-holdings and perennially low ROE (it does). Silchester asked for a minimal special div as a signal. Shareholders dinged their request at the AGM. 
  • Shiga Bank had a decent runup in the last several months – far outstripping its peers. Now it is rich. Time to take the trade off.

Shift 3Q: Earnings Below Consensus but Heavy Hiring Spend Should Help in the Long Run

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Shift reported 3QFY08/2022 results yesterday. Revenue grew 36.1% YoY to JPY17.1bn (vs consensus JPY18.3bn) while OP grew 25.7% to JPY1.3bn (vs consensus JPY1.54bn).
  • Revenue from the largest segment Enterprise market grew 35.3% while enterprise segment grew 47.5% YoY during the quarter.
  • According to Shift, the application of revenue recognition standard has lowered revenues and OP. The drop in OPM was due to heavy SG&A expenses as a result of hiring.

Z Holdings (Neutral) – PayPay Rebranding of ECommerce; We Remain Cautious in a Rebuilding Year

By Kirk Boodry

  • Z Holdings will integrate its eCommerce platforms in a move that boosts the PayPay brand and may generate some (very) modest synergies
  • We are publishing updated forecasts and setting a new target price at ¥550 but we remain cautious on the shares in the near term as consensus remains high
  • Shares of ZHD still appear expensive at 14-16x our estimate of FY22e EBITDA and are more expensive than Alphabet at these levels (12x EBITDA)

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