Daily BriefsJapan

Japan: Recruit Holdings, Advantest Corp, Keyence Corp, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Recruit Buyback: An Attempt to Rescue Falling Share Price; Seems Like a Good Short
  • Advantest – Upside and Downside Scenarios
  • Keyence – Not a Gimme but Worth a Small Buy Into Earnings
  • Japan’s Governance: About the Article on Holding Shares Contributed to Retirement Benefit Trusts

Recruit Buyback: An Attempt to Rescue Falling Share Price; Seems Like a Good Short

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Recruit has announced a share buy-back on Friday of 34.0m shares (2.06% of outstanding shares) for JPY155.8bn, implying JPY4,581 per share.
  • Recruit’s shares closed at JPY5,090 per share at the end of Thursday’s close, and following the announcement, shares moved up to JPY5,305 a piece, gaining 4.2%.
  • We think Recruit’s shares will be a good Short over the next few days.

Advantest – Upside and Downside Scenarios

By Mio Kato

  • Advantest shares are down 19% from their Jan 4th high after a post earnings rally on Friday. 
  • While order momentum remains strong it has moderated slightly since 2Q and longer-term risks are a concern. 
  • What remains to be seen is how sustainable Chinese demand is given its steady rise since 2016.

Keyence – Not a Gimme but Worth a Small Buy Into Earnings

By Mio Kato

  • We are broadly negative the FA sector as we expect earnings to fall next FY for most players and valuations are extended. 
  • Keyence is an exception in that we expect further growth next year although valuations are extended even for Keyence. 
  • We believe this is because the market is pricing in its greater earnings resilience but maybe not quite enough.

Japan’s Governance: About the Article on Holding Shares Contributed to Retirement Benefit Trusts

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Few investors are able to analyze the details of policy holdings and deemed shareholdings and their trends without reading and analyzing the annual securities reports of each company in detail.
  • It is impossible to analyze the details of policy holdings and deemed shareholdings and their trends without reading and analyzing the annual securities reports of each company in detail.
  • Companies holding the deemed shareholdings performed the worst, even though the impact on the assets on balance sheet is limited because the deemed shareholdings are contributed to retirement benefit trusts.

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