Daily BriefsJapan

Japan: Money Forward, Hohsui Corp, Morinaga Milk Industry Co, SBI Sumishin Net Bank and more

In today’s briefing:

  • TOPIX Index Upweights: The Big April Basket 2022 (Pre-Event)
  • Chuo Gyorui to Take Out Hohsui – Done Deal Easy Peasy.
  • Morinaga (2201) Mostly Exits Morinaga Milk (2264) – Big Buyback
  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – One of the Largest but Also One of the Slowest

TOPIX Index Upweights: The Big April Basket 2022 (Pre-Event)

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) calculates Free-Float Weight (FFW) for each listed company and uses this value as a key component of TOPIX Index Calculation. 
  • For companies with “low liquidity” the FFW will be multiplied by a fixed liquidity factor of 0.75 to derive the final FFW used for index calculation. 
  • Every April, the application of this liquidity factor is reviewed by the TSE for all TSE1 constituents. This situation opens up interesting opportunities for a basket trade. 

Chuo Gyorui to Take Out Hohsui – Done Deal Easy Peasy.

By Travis Lundy

  • This is an agreement between one fish merchant Chuo Gyorui (8030 JP) and another fish merchant Nissui (1332 JP) to take over a third fish merchant, Hohsui Corp (1352 JP)
  • And the takeover PER and forecast PCFR are low. But there really is nothing fishy here. Hohsui has a lot of debt.
  • This is a done deal and there is nothing anyone can do about it.

Morinaga (2201) Mostly Exits Morinaga Milk (2264) – Big Buyback

By Travis Lundy

  • Morinaga & Co is selling down a near-10% stake in Morinaga Milk in a ToSTNeT-3 buyback on 1 March. 
  • Morinaga Milk will see an EPS and ROE uplift. Eventually, there are a lot more cross-holdings to buy back.
  • Near-, medium-, and longer-term there are different flow patterns worth understanding if you have a position or are looking for one. If you want to sell lots, you can tomorrow.

SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – One of the Largest but Also One of the Slowest

By Sumeet Singh

  • SBI Sumishin Net Bank (SSNB) will be looking to raise around US$1.1bn in its upcoming IPO.
  • SSNB is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group, a financial services firm. 
  • The deal, if successful, would be Japan’s first online-only bank to go public. In this note, we compare the company with some of its peers.

Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma