Daily BriefsJapan

Japan: Money Forward, Cosmo Energy Holdings, Beenos Inc, Honda Motor, Torii Pharmaceutical, Ohsho Food Service, J Front Retailing and more

In today’s briefing:

  • The TOPIX Liquidity Factor Adjustment – Still a Trade To Do
  • Activist Murakami-San Goes Substantial on Cosmo Oil (5021)
  • GoTo May Not Be So Expensive, If You Own It Through Beenos
  • Honda – Expanding EV Partnership With GM
  • Japan’s Governance: Articles About Torii Pharmaceutical’s AGM (2)
  • Ohsho Food Service (9936): Record High Sales for March. Full-Year Sales Exceed the Company’s Target
  • J-Front (3086) | Recent Datapoints Point to High-End Shoppers Loosening the Purse Strings

The TOPIX Liquidity Factor Adjustment – Still a Trade To Do

By Travis Lundy

  • Every year in April there are two TOPIX rebalance changes – the FFW review for July-September FY-end companies, and the annual liquidity factor adjustments.
  • This year, the former is replaced by the TOPIX FFW Methodology Change for the new Market Structure. This is a big change, but it will not necessarily overwhelm the latter.
  • Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA‘s piece of 5 weeks ago discussing the Liquidity Factor basket has seen generally good performance. There are two days to go. 

Activist Murakami-San Goes Substantial on Cosmo Oil (5021)

By Travis Lundy

  • Four weeks ago, the sovereign wealth fund of the UAE sold out of a 15% position in Cosmo Energy Holdings (5021 JP) they’d held for 15yrs. 
  • Today we see noted Japanese activist Murakami Yoshiaki and affiliates have purchased 5+% of the company, including a large chunk the day after the block trade.
  • Oftentimes he buys stakes in industries where consolidation is overdue and/or natural. Construction has been one such sector. Refiners probably need consolidation too, but it’s not clear it’s easy here.

GoTo May Not Be So Expensive, If You Own It Through Beenos

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Beenos Inc (3328 JP) is a relatively small cross-border e-commerce and internet company from Japan with a consolidated GMV of ¥64.7bn last year.
  • The company also runs an incubator platform to create new businesses and invest in start-ups mainly in emerging regions such as India and South-East Asia.
  • Down below, we analyse the impact on Beenos’ valuation following GOTO’s impending IPO of which Beenos owns 0.5%.

Honda – Expanding EV Partnership With GM

By Mio Kato

  • Honda and GM announced today that they would further expand their partnership on EV technologies.
  • A new EV series will be produced for North America by 2027 and the two companies will collaborate on advanced battery technologies.
  • This is an incremental positive for Honda and GM but the array of partnerships Honda is creating points to a lack of decisiveness on its part.

Japan’s Governance: Articles About Torii Pharmaceutical’s AGM (2)

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Torii Pharmaceutical rejected a shareholder proposal at its AGM to prohibit “revolving door” appointments of people from JT to the board of directors and to disclose the cost of capital.
  • The Company disclosed the propriety of opposing these shareholder proposals, but this was not understood to be a sufficient explanation.
  • Will the Company eventually terminate its parent-subsidiary listing if it does not meet the prime market listing criteria for governance?

Ohsho Food Service (9936): Record High Sales for March. Full-Year Sales Exceed the Company’s Target

By Mita Securities

  • Ohsho Food Service (9936, the company) disclosed monthly data for its directly-owned stores for March (on a preliminary basis)
  • FY3/22 full-year sales for its directly-owned stores were 77.2bn yen on an all-store basis (104.9% vs. FY3/21), and 74.9bn yen on a same-store basis (103.1% vs. FY3/21)
  • In March, the company opened one new store (one directly-owned store) and closed no store

J-Front (3086) | Recent Datapoints Point to High-End Shoppers Loosening the Purse Strings

By Mark Chadwick

  • J-Front Retailing, a Japanese department store operator, will announce full-year results on April 11.
  • We expect FY2/23 guidance to be more optimistic as Japan normalises post COVID. 
  • Pent up demand for luxury goods to drive recovery of department stores. J-Front is still trading below book value.

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