In this briefing:
- Polycab India Limited IPO – Probably Near Peak Margins, Improvements Unexplained
- Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) Trading Update – Could Be Worth Setting up a Trade
- Bilibili Offering: Unnecessary and Opportunistic
- Bilibili Placement: Momentum Bodes Well
- Map Aktif Follow-On Offering – Lace up for a Potential Long Run
1. Polycab India Limited IPO – Probably Near Peak Margins, Improvements Unexplained
Polycab India (POLY IN) plans to raise around US$190m in its IPO through a mix of selling primary and secondary shares. It is the largest manufacturer of wires and cables in India with a 12% market share, as per CRISIL research. The company also recently entered the consumer electrical segments.
I covered the company background and past financial performance in my previous insight, Polycab India Limited Pre-IPO – Market Leader with Steady Growth but with a Few Unanswered Question.
In this insight, I’ll run the deal through our IPO framework, and comment on valuation and updates since the previous filing.
2. Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) Trading Update – Could Be Worth Setting up a Trade
Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK) raised US$208m at a fixed price of HK$3.06 per share. We have covered the IPO extensively in:
- Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) Pre-IPO Review – Dependent on Dealership Network for Growth
- Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) IPO Review – Better off Buying the Parent
- Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) IPO Review – Relaunched at Lower Price
In this insight, we will update on the deal dynamics, implied valuation, and include a valuation sensitivity table.
3. Bilibili Offering: Unnecessary and Opportunistic
On Monday, Bilibili Inc (BILI US) unveiled plans to raise around $192 million (based on the closing price of $18.95 per ADS) through a public offering of 10.6 million ADS and a concurrent offering of $300 million convertible senior notes. Also, certain selling shareholders will offer 6.5 ADS in the offering.
We believe bilibili’s fundamentals are mixed as rapid monthly active users (MAUs) and non-mobile games growth is offset by a declining margin and higher cash burn. Overall, the proposed offering is unnecessary and highly opportunistic, and we would not participate in the offering.
4. Bilibili Placement: Momentum Bodes Well
Bilibili announced a USD 300 million share placement and a USD 300 million convertible note placement after market close on Monday. This is the first major placement since Bilibili’s IPO in March 2018. In this insight, we will provide our thoughts on the deal and score the deal in our ECM Framework.
5. Map Aktif Follow-On Offering – Lace up for a Potential Long Run
CVC is looking to raise about US$353m through the sale of about 648m Map Aktif Adiperkasa PT (MAPA IJ) shares in the follow-on offering.
Map Aktif (MAPA) is a sports, leisure, and kids retailer in Indonesia. It is a subsidiary of Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ). The selldown might not be totally unexpected as CVC planned to exit its investment by 2020. However, post this selldown it will still have 192m share left.
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