ECM

Brief IPOs & Placements: Platinum Asset Management Placement –  Co-Founder Selling + Weak Earnings Momentum and more

In this briefing:

  1. Platinum Asset Management Placement –  Co-Founder Selling + Weak Earnings Momentum
  2. Sun Car Insurance Agency (盛世大联) IPO: Over Valued Vs P&C Companies
  3. Lyft IPO: Key Takeaways from In-Depth Interviews with Drivers
  4. Wisetech Global Placement – Past Deal Did Well but Valuations Looks Stretched
  5. Hyundai Autoever IPO Bookbuilding: Surprising Results, Local Street Bets on Autoever/Glovis Merger

1. Platinum Asset Management Placement –  Co-Founder Selling + Weak Earnings Momentum

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The co-founder of  Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU), Kerr Neilson, and Judith Neilson are looking to sell 30m shares of the company at a fixed price of A$5.00. 

The deal scores poorly on our framework due to its poor track record, large deal size, weak earnings momentum and relatively expensive valuation. The selldown comes after the company weak 1H FY19 results last month which could put pressure on share price in the near term.

2. Sun Car Insurance Agency (盛世大联) IPO: Over Valued Vs P&C Companies

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Sun Car Insurance Agency is a leading automobile insurance agency and B2B2C automobile after-sales service provider in China. The company is listed in the NEEQ board since 2014 and is raising up to USD 167 million to list in Hong Kong. In this insight we cover:

  • The company’s two major business lines, the automobile insurance agency and automobile butler services
  • The industry backdrop
  • The company’s shareholder
  • Our thought on valuation

3. Lyft IPO: Key Takeaways from In-Depth Interviews with Drivers

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  • In-depth interviews with two full-time drivers reveal that Lyft Inc (0812823D US) has disrupted the incumbent Yellow Cab in NY City due to better take-home income economics for drivers.
  • Bargaining and pricing power favor LYFT (vs. drivers) as LYFT could provide the volume (sufficient number of rides per day) for drivers.
  • LYFT’s path to profitability depends on 1) the further scale-up of network effect 2) diversification of transportation-related business and 3) progress in autonomous cars’ unit cost economics.
  • Given its track record as a disruptive force, investors could be willing to pay up (over 5.0x P/S multiple) for LYFT, making the IPO a hot deal.

4. Wisetech Global Placement – Past Deal Did Well but Valuations Looks Stretched

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Wisetech Global (WTC AU) plans to raise US$177m/AUD250m in order to shore-up its balancesheet for future acquistiions. 

The company has done exceedingly well since listing and even its past fund raising delivered good returns. However, the deal scores a mixed score on our framework as valuations appear strecthed with the stock trading above analysts target price. Thus, the deal might warrant a large discount.

5. Hyundai Autoever IPO Bookbuilding: Surprising Results, Local Street Bets on Autoever/Glovis Merger

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  • Subscription rate is 797 to 1. Offer price was fixed at ₩48,000, substantially higher than the upper end. Deal size is now ₩168.5bil. Company value is put at slightly higher than ₩1tril. Demands are spread out pretty well between long-term funds and hot money and local and foreign investors as well. All of the orders are universally placed at 75% of upper end or higher.
  • Local street is betting on Autoever/Glovis merger not long after this IPO. That is, HMG is still wanting the initial Glovis/Mobis merger plan. To better manage to win shareholder support, they must be thinking that bigger Glovis can be an answer. This means HMG should do whatever it takes to make Autoever bigger in the immediate future.
  • This is what local street is betting on and why they went really aggressive on this IPO. As witnessed in the bookbuilding results, this street mentalitywon’t be changed any time soon. We should expect even stronger prices after new shares are listed on Mar 28.

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