ECM

Brief IPOs & Placements: Naspers: Addressing the Discount (Again). New Moves to Realize Value Are Having an Impact and more

In this briefing:

  1. Naspers: Addressing the Discount (Again). New Moves to Realize Value Are Having an Impact
  2. Ronshine (融信集团) Placement – Back for a Equity Raise
  3. Polycab India Limited IPO – Probably Near Peak Margins, Improvements Unexplained
  4. Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) Trading Update – Could Be Worth Setting up a Trade
  5. Bilibili Offering: Unnecessary and Opportunistic

1. Naspers: Addressing the Discount (Again). New Moves to Realize Value Are Having an Impact

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Naspers (NPN SJ) recently announced another attempt to reduce the holdco discount which has remained stubbornly high despite previous attempts by management to reduce it. Since the announcement there has been movement, so perhaps this time it really is different!

So what is being done? Naspers will spin off its international internet assets, which account for >99% of its value, into a newco. They will then list 25% of newco on the Euronext in Amsterdam by issuing these shares to Naspers’ shareholders. The intention is to create a vehicle which can attract increased foreign and tech investors without the complication of a South African listing. The company believes this has been a key factor behind the wide holdco discount. The move also reduces Naspers weighting in South African indices which is another contributing factor.

Alastair Jones sees the announcement as a positive, although there are still issues with the main listing being in South Africa. He still believes a buyback would be the most effective way to reduce the discount, but Naspers is also keen to keep investing. 

2. Ronshine (融信集团) Placement – Back for a Equity Raise

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Ronshine China Holdings (3301 HK) is looking to raise about US$122m in a top-up placement.

The deal scores marginally positive on our framework owing to its decent track record, and price and earnings momentum.

Its past deals have done well in the long run. Even though it did not perform well over the one-month period, its first week returns have tend to hold up above the deal price.

3. Polycab India Limited IPO – Probably Near Peak Margins, Improvements Unexplained

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Polycab India (POLY IN) plans to raise around US$190m in its IPO through a mix of selling primary and secondary shares. It is the largest manufacturer of wires and cables in India with a 12% market share, as per CRISIL research. The company also recently entered the consumer electrical segments. 

I covered the company background and past financial performance in my previous insight, Polycab India Limited Pre-IPO – Market Leader with Steady Growth but with a Few Unanswered Question.

In this insight, I’ll run the deal through our IPO framework, and comment on valuation and updates since the previous filing.

4. Dongzheng Auto Finance (东正汽车金融) Trading Update – Could Be Worth Setting up a Trade

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Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK) raised US$208m at a fixed price of HK$3.06 per share. We have covered the IPO extensively in:

In this insight, we will update on the deal dynamics, implied valuation, and include a valuation sensitivity table.

5. Bilibili Offering: Unnecessary and Opportunistic

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On Monday, Bilibili Inc (BILI US) unveiled plans to raise around $192 million (based on the closing price of $18.95 per ADS) through a public offering of 10.6 million ADS and a concurrent offering of $300 million convertible senior notes. Also, certain selling shareholders will offer 6.5 ADS in the offering.

We believe bilibili’s fundamentals are mixed as rapid monthly active users (MAUs) and non-mobile games growth is offset by a declining margin and higher cash burn. Overall, the proposed offering is unnecessary and highly opportunistic, and we would not participate in the offering.

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