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Brief IPOs & Placements: CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Attractive, Lilly Asia Doubling Up (Part 4) and more

In this briefing:

  1. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Attractive, Lilly Asia Doubling Up (Part 4)
  2. ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Earnings and Segment Analysis
  3. PagerDuty IPO Preview
  4. China Risun (中国旭阳) – Quick Post-IPO Trading Update
  5. GDS Holdings (GDS US): Placing a Good Opportunity to Gain Exposure to a High Growth Story

1. CanSino Biologics (康希诺) IPO: Valuation Attractive, Lilly Asia Doubling Up (Part 4)

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CanSino Biologics started its book building today to raise up to USD 160 million to list in Hong Kong. In our previous insights (links provided below), we provided a detailed analysis of the company’s core drug candidates, its shareholders and our thoughts on valuation. In this insight, we will cover the following topics:

  • Recap of our valuation
  • Highlight of cornerstone investors
  • Our thoughts on the deal

Our coverage on Cansino IPO

2. ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Earnings and Segment Analysis

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ESR Cayman (ESR HK) aims to raise up to US$1.5bn in its planned Hong Kong listing, as per media reports. The company is backed by Warburg Pincus and counts APG, the Netherlands’ largest pension provider, as one of its main investors.

In my earlier insight, I touched upon the company’s business model and provided an overview of its operations, ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – A Giant in the Making

In this insight, I’ll talk more about the financials and the drivers for each of the three segments.

3. PagerDuty IPO Preview

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PagerDuty Inc (PD US) is a US based software company which is ready to complete its IPO in the next several weeks. Founded in 2009, PagerDuty helps companies to respond quickly when their websites go down. PagerDuty’s software helps companies to respond to items such as customer complaints and helps companies to spot problems. The company is known for capitalizing on its AI (Artificial Intelligence) models to quickly solve problems of why websites go down. 

The company has an excellent, diversified base of more than 10,000 customers in 90 countries including IBM, The World Bank, Airbnb, Netflix, GE, and Gap. One of the strong points of PagerDuty is the fact that it has gathered massive amounts of data from its more than 10,000 customers. The company also boasts a very high customer retention rate (139% net retention rate). A combination of the company’s strong AI capability coupled with the increasing amounts of Big Data provide a strong competitive advantage for the company since its AI capability may improve and get smarter with additional Big Data and continuous problem solving of why websites go down.

PagerDuty was most recently valued at $1.3 billion in September 2018 in a private market valuation (led by T.Rowe Price Group investing $90 million in the company), representing 16x the company’s annual revenue of $79.6 million as of 12 months ending January 2018. 

4. China Risun (中国旭阳) – Quick Post-IPO Trading Update

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China Risun (1907 HK) raised USD 202 million at HKD 2.80 per share, near the low end of its IPO price range. We have previously covered the IPO in:

In this insight, we will update on the deal dynamics, implied valuation, and include a valuation sensitivity table.

5. GDS Holdings (GDS US): Placing a Good Opportunity to Gain Exposure to a High Growth Story

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Last Friday, Gds Holdings (Adr) (GDS US), the largest third-party data centre operator in China, announced the placing price of its public offering of 11.9 million ADS. At the placing price of $33.50 per share, GDS will raise net proceeds of $385.5 million which will be used for the development and acquisition of new data centres.

We are positive on GDS as the business remains in rude health due to strong revenue growth, rising margins and high revenue visibility. Overall, we would participate in the public offering at the placing price.

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