In this briefing:
- Historical TOPIX Inclusions: How Do They Do Around Inclusion Date?
- Small Potatoes Nikkei 225 Changes on Christmas Day
1. Historical TOPIX Inclusions: How Do They Do Around Inclusion Date?
There are seven stocks which were promoted/reassigned from TSE2, MOTHERS, and JASDAQ in November 2018 leading to the same seven stocks being included in TOPIX at the end of December.
A couple are decently largecap. Most are smaller.
A good question to ask when looking at these stocks might be… What Really Happens Around TOPIX Inclusions?
Having traded them for much of the last 20yrs, I had my hypotheses, and had done studies over the years for my own purposes, but I had not done a study recently. To check my personal hypotheses I tested 340+ TOPIX inclusions over the past five years.
There are patterns to the history of trading these events which are worth a look. Some of the patterns are reasonably interesting.
2. Small Potatoes Nikkei 225 Changes on Christmas Day
Specialty steel maker Nisshin Steel (5413 JP) is slated to merge with parent company Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal (5401 JP) as of January 1, 2019. For that, Nisshin Steel will be delisted on December 26th (i.e. the last day of trading is the 25th) and that means the Nikkei Inc was obliged to choose a replacement to take Nisshin Steel’s place in the Nikkei 225 and other indices.
On December 11th, the Nikkei Inc announced Itoham Yonekyu Holdings Inc (2296 JP) would take Nisshin’s place in the Nikkei 500 Index, announced that Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) would join the Nikkei 300 Index, and announced that Dic Corp (4631 JP) would replace Nisshin Steel in the Nikkei Stock Average, better known as the Nikkei 225.
The only one which matters is the Nikkei 225 (the other two have tiny tracking), and this is not a huge index trade as both Nisshin Steel and DIC are deemed 500 yen par value stocks.
This is an event one could “miss.”
And it will happen on Christmas Day, after a long weekend for Japan traders.
