In this briefing:
- Corporate Governance in Global Emerging Markets: 70 Energy Companies – Korean Co Gets Lowest Score
- Lynas (LYC AU): Wesfarmers’ Unattractive Bid
- Fujitec (6406) Value Buy
- DHICO Rights Offer: Ceiling Price at ₩5,550 & Today Is Last Day Before Ex-Rights
- HK Connect Discovery Weekly: Mainland Investors Buying WH Group (2019-03-22)
1. Corporate Governance in Global Emerging Markets: 70 Energy Companies – Korean Co Gets Lowest Score
- Our proprietary corporate governance scoring system now covers over 1,800 stocks including 70 Electricity, Alternative Energy, Distribution, Water and Utilities companies in Emerging Markets.
- This report includes the Energy and Utilities names currently under coverage.
The lowest score in this group is Korea Gas (44/100). - We have found that scores below 50/100 indicate poor corporate governance and higher risk of fraud.
- Korean companies often have lower scores as a result of a lack of board independence and convoluted corporate structure.
- Of the groupings presented here Alternative Energy has the highest average score at 64/100.
We welcome requests from clients of names they want to see added to the universe.
2. Lynas (LYC AU): Wesfarmers’ Unattractive Bid
Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU) launched a conditional, non-binding indicative proposal for Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU), one of the world’s only rare earths suppliers based outside China. Wesfarmers’ proposal of A$2.25 cash per share values Lynas at A$1.5 billion. Lynas’ share price jumped 35% to A$2.10 before going into a trading halt.
The bid comes at a turbulent time for Lynas, which is caught in a regulatory dispute with authorities in Malaysia. While Wesfarmers proposal could be viewed as a lifeline for Lynas, we believe that Wesfarmers’s proposal is opportunistic and unattractive.
3. Fujitec (6406) Value Buy
The shares are cheap. The company is cash rich and owns 10% in treasury stock; it owned more last year but has cancelled 4%. It has some Y6bn in long term investment. EV in our view is Y57bn vs the current market cap of Y110bn. With ebitda next year coming in at Y15bn, EV/ebitda is under 4x. The shares yield 3.4% and trade at book. They have slightly underperformed the market over the last 12 months. For now, we view this as a defensive buy. There remain many issues longer term as to its place in the global elevator world. A potential positive, however, is that in May the company will announce a new mid-term plan and in it, they will outline their view as regards to shareholder returns for the next three years. They are aware that they are very over capitalised, so greater returns are a real possibility.
4. DHICO Rights Offer: Ceiling Price at ₩5,550 & Today Is Last Day Before Ex-Rights
- DHICO rights offer 1st round pricing was fixed at ₩5,550. This ₩5,550 will serve as the ceiling. It is nearly guaranteed that the final offer price will be fixed somewhere between ₩5,000 and ₩5,550. It can not go lower than the face value ₩5,000.
- Today (Mar 26) is the last day to get subscription rights. Subscription rights will be then tradable on Apr 19~25. The 4 bookrunners will buy all forfeited shares at a 15% discount to final offering price. There is no cancellation risk.
- Local arb traders made their move yesterday. Foreign arb traders entered as well. Past tendency shows buying earlier would pay off more handsomely than waiting longer. DHICO’s fundamentals isn’t showing any positive sign yet. Deal structure isn’t helping improve street sentiments either. This event needs a lot of arb traders to hit the target. This is another relief point for those making early trades.
5. HK Connect Discovery Weekly: Mainland Investors Buying WH Group (2019-03-22)
In our Discover HK Connect series, we aim to help our investors understand the flow of southbound trades via the Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine. We will discuss the stocks that experienced the most inflow and outflow by mainland investors in the past seven days.
We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: component stocks in the HSCEI index, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.
In this insight, we highlight the WH Group, which led the inflows last week.
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