Daily BriefsIndustrials

Industrials: Hitachi Transport System, Toyo Construction, Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources, Arwana Citramulia, AKR Corporindo, Gateway Distriparks, ACCO Brands, MonotaRO Co Ltd and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Hitachi Transport System (9086) Shareholders Get the BIG Win in This VLBO
  • ToyoKen (1890)- Infroneer Declines to Bid Up, YFO Now In Driver’s Seat – Now It’s A Range Trade
  • Beijing Enterprises Urban (3718 HK)’s Curious And Underwhelming Offer
  • Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) A Finely Glazed Future
  • AKRA Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Front and Centre on Economic Recovery and Commodities
  • Gateway Distripark Ltd – Strong Performance in Rail
  • ACCO: Normalizing with Growth
  • MonotaRO (3064): Satisfactory 1Q Results; 2Q and Beyond Are More and More Important

Hitachi Transport System (9086) Shareholders Get the BIG Win in This VLBO

By Travis Lundy

  • KKR and Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP) have a deal to get KKR to buy Hitachi Transport System (9086 JP) in a VLBO (Very Leveraged BuyOut). 
  • As somewhat expected, it is a “split price deal” where Hitachi will accept a lower price for its 40% stake than minorities will receive in a Tender Offer. 
  • This is a big win for Hitachi Transport shareholders, but the Tender Offer likely won’t start until late September.

ToyoKen (1890)- Infroneer Declines to Bid Up, YFO Now In Driver’s Seat – Now It’s A Range Trade

By Travis Lundy

  • Toyo Construction (1890 JP) today released a change to its Target Opinion Statement for Infroneer’s takeover bid at ¥770/share. It supports the tender itself, but withdraws its recommendation investors tender.
  • Infroneer refused to raise their price, so this effectively kills their bid (though they will extend). TC will engage with Yamauchi Family Office which has separately offered to bid ¥1,000/share.
  • The dynamics have now changed. This is a range trade, and will likely take time unless Infroneer says “I’ll sell at ¥1,000/share.”

Beijing Enterprises Urban (3718 HK)’s Curious And Underwhelming Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources (3718 HK) (BEUR) has announced a mandatory general cash offer from Beijing Enterprises Water Group (371 HK) (BEW). 
  • This Offer was triggered by BEW increasing its stake to 31.23% from 29.97%. The Offer price is HK$0.78/share, a zero premium to last close and 20% above the 30-day average. 
  • This is an underwhelming privatisation Offer. BEUR traded through terms as recent as last November. The Offer price has not been declared final.

Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) A Finely Glazed Future

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) released a strong set of 1Q2022 surpassing expectations and paving the way for strong growth in 2022 driven by an improving product mix.
  • ASPs for Arwana are increasing through changing product mix, which is improving margins but not suppressing demand with a move to higher-end Digi Uno and ARNA products. 
  • A webinar with management confirmed the positive outlook for 2022, with an estimate of +30% bottom-line growth forecast from increased volumes, greater efficiencies, and higher ASPs through improved product mix.

AKRA Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Front and Centre on Economic Recovery and Commodities

By Angus Mackintosh

  • AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) results continued to reflect its key exposure to both economic recovery in Indonesia and its exposure to rising commodity prices through its chemical distribution.
  • Volume growth in petroleum distribution may surprise on the upside, whilst chemical prices remain elevated boosting that business.
  • The pipeline for its JIIPE industrial estate looks promising and management remains confident in targeting 40 ha land sales with potential upside from Freeport Smelter related demand. 

Gateway Distripark Ltd – Strong Performance in Rail

By Nirmal Bang

  • Rail volume grew by 16% YoY and 6% QoQ to 0.90mn TEUs in 4QFY22
  • Rail EBITDA per TEU grew by 14.8% QoQ and 4.4% YoY to Rs10,357 in 4QFY22
  • CFS remained weak: In 4QFY22, CFS volume declined by 5.8% YoY and 8.3% QoQ to 0.87mn TEUs

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ACCO: Normalizing with Growth

By Hamed Khorsand

  • ACCO experienced a recovery in all its segments in the first quarter 2022, especially from COVID-19 related closures in Mexico and Brazil
  • ACCO reported comparable sales rose 11 percent compared to the prior year, but foreign exchange limited the quarter’s performance
  • ACCO is continuing to project a higher free cash flow than in 2021, which would be used to reduce its debt level.

MonotaRO (3064): Satisfactory 1Q Results; 2Q and Beyond Are More and More Important

By Mita Securities

  • Consolidated OP was 6.664bn yen (+10.9% YoY), and OPM was 12.2% (-0.9ppt YoY).
  • Progress toward the company’s 1H OP guidance of 11.702bn yen (-1.6% YoY) was 57%.
  • OP exceeded its 1Q target of 6.268bn yen by 396m yen

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