Daily BriefsIndustrials

Industrials: Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) and more

In today’s briefing:

  • COSCO Shipping Energy (1138 HK): US Crude Export and China Import the Wild Cards?

COSCO Shipping Energy (1138 HK): US Crude Export and China Import the Wild Cards?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • US crude export growth is the positive driver while China import contraction is the negative for tanker ton-mile demand in last year which contraction 5.3% YoY.  
  • Significant room exists for a rebound in US oil export as oil majors announced plans to increase output. China’s import growth will recover in the next 12-18 months as well. 
  • US oil export to China needs 2x more VLCC than from Arabian Gulf. This bodes well for tanker rate, benefiting Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK) in the medium term.

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