India

Brief India: RRG Global Macro Weekly – Election Volatility Expected in India, Indonesia and Thailand and more

In this briefing:

  1. RRG Global Macro Weekly – Election Volatility Expected in India, Indonesia and Thailand
  2. India: Retail SIP Inflows Show Sharp Slowdown

1. RRG Global Macro Weekly – Election Volatility Expected in India, Indonesia and Thailand

  • Volatility set to rise as Thailand, Indonesia and India all Face ElectionsRussia: Michael Calvey, a US citizen and one of Russia’s most prominent foreign investors, has been detained.
  • Indonesia: Incumbent President and his challenger from the military are trying to outdo each other in spending largesse targeting rural poor ahead of the May election.
  • South Africa: Recent inflation readings have been the lowest in a long time on lower fuel expenses. Expected to stay low.

2. India: Retail SIP Inflows Show Sharp Slowdown

2

  • 62% of small cap funds, 38% of mid cap funds have negative 3-year SIP returns
  • 33% of large cap funds have 3-year SIP returns lower than FD rate
  • AMFI data shows 50% of SIP accounts were registered since April-17
  • Discontinued SIP accounts in 9MFY19 are 24% higher than those over entire FY18. Net SIP additions are down 70% in last 6 months.
  • Even though gross SIP inflows are holding up, industry experts indicate net inflows have fallen from 70% of the gross in mid-2018 to 40% currently.

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