Daily BriefsEvent-Driven

Event-Driven: Kyokuto Kaihatsu Kogyo Co, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, Toshiba Corp, Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture, KakaoBank, Renesas Electronics, SK Innovation and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Kyokuto Kaihatsu (7226 JP) Buyback – It’s Kinda Big, But There May Be More Behind
  • Tunas Ridean (TURI IJ): JCNC & Tunas Andolan’s Quasi Delisting Proposal
  • Toshiba – Surprise, Surprise, More Drama
  • Zhuangyuan Pasture (1533 HK): 29th June EGM For H-Share Offer
  • KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades
  • KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Minimal Flow at the Close on June 9 For Day Basket-Trading
  • A Modest Proposal to the Nikkei Index Committee for Nikkei 225 Methodology Change
  • SK Inc & SK Innovation Plan to Buy Stake in Bill Gates’ TerraPower + SKC Sells PET Film Business

Kyokuto Kaihatsu (7226 JP) Buyback – It’s Kinda Big, But There May Be More Behind

By Travis Lundy

  • Kyokuto Kaihatsu Kogyo Co (7226 JP) has always been cash-rich. Recently there are better noises. Sold real estate. New Mid-Term Plan. Raised the payout ratio to 50%. Slowly selling crossholdings.
  • But it isn’t fast enough, and activist Strategic Capital this spring announced a flurry of AGM agenda items to extract value for shareholders. 
  • The company today announced a buyback – additive, but there is a lot to look at here. Shareholder structure is key. And forward cash-flows tell you more buybacks could come.

Tunas Ridean (TURI IJ): JCNC & Tunas Andolan’s Quasi Delisting Proposal

By David Blennerhassett

  • Tunas Ridean (TURI IJ) announced a plan to change its status from an open company to a closed company. 
  • In effect, TURI will undertake a buyback of its shares at Rp1,700/share, a lifetime high. Those who do not tender will be left holding unlisted scrip. 
  • Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCNC SP) and Tunas Andalan both hold 46.24%, leaving 7.52% in public hands. The proposal requires a shareholder vote. It appears no shareholder needs to abstain. 

Toshiba – Surprise, Surprise, More Drama

By Mio Kato

  • The days since Toshiba’s last briefing session have been eventful with METI expressing concern about foreign investor control and a split emerging in the board over director nominations. 
  • These developments create significant risk of activist-friendly director candidates being vetoed in our view. 
  • Toshiba stock has been trading in line with Hitachi’s strong performance of late despite being more expensive and thus risk has increased.

Zhuangyuan Pasture (1533 HK): 29th June EGM For H-Share Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 25 April, PRC dairy farmer Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture (1533 HK) announced a Conditional Cash Offer for all its H-shares at $10.89/share. The Offer Doc is now out.
  • This two-step voluntary cash offer involves a Scheme-like vote and a 90% tendering condition. The EGM will be held on the 29 June. 
  • This transaction could potentially be wrapped up late-July. The FY21 dividend should also be added to the Offer terms.

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

By Brian Freitas

  • There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.
  • There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.
  • The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Minimal Flow at the Close on June 9 For Day Basket-Trading

By Sanghyun Park

  • Flows from the ETFs/index funds serve as a minimal flow for rebalancing trading at the close on June 9. The total AUM is ₩18.9T: ETFs ₩15.0T and index funds ₩3.9T.
  • There are only three trading days left until the rebalancing trading. At this point, a setup aimed at the NPS/Insurance’s preemptive trading seems a bit off, timing-wise.
  • It seems more appropriate at this point to design a day basket-trading based on the minimal flow size on the day of rebalancing trading, June 9.

A Modest Proposal to the Nikkei Index Committee for Nikkei 225 Methodology Change

By Travis Lundy

  • The Nikkei Index team proposed several changes to the Nikkei 225 Average methodology last week. They include capping, a semi-annual (vs annual) review, and a change in “liquidity” measure.
  • It helps move membership away from the low price low weight names which populate the bottom of the index. Slowly. 6 names a year. That’s not enough.
  • And it doesn’t fix the historical anomalies rendering the index unsuitable as benchmark (and BOJ tool). I propose more changes below. You can submit this or yours in the consultation.

SK Inc & SK Innovation Plan to Buy Stake in Bill Gates’ TerraPower + SKC Sells PET Film Business

By Douglas Kim

  • SK Group has been the the most active M&A player among the major chaebols in Korea in the past decade. SK Group is once again making some big M&A moves.
  • In this insight, we discuss SK Inc and SK Innovation’s plans to purchase a minority stake in Bill Gates’ TerraPower nuclear SMR technology company.
  • We also discuss the recent sale of the PET film business by SKC for 1.6 trillion won and how SKC may try to acquire the controlling interests of Iljin Materials.

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