Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Equity Bottom-Up: Tencent, KDDI Corp, Siam Commercial Bank PCL, Bangkok Bank Public, Alibaba Health Information Technology, Z Holdings and more

In today’s briefing:

  • China Internet Weekly (4Jul2022): Tencent, Alibaba, NetEase, JD.com, Trip.com
  • KDDI (Buy) – Network Outage Is a Bad Look but Concerns Should Fade over Time
  • SCB – Steady Lending, Capital Growth
  • BBL : So Far so Good
  • Alibaba Health Information Technology (241.HK) – It’s Not Easy to Break a Deadlock
  • Z Holdings (4689) | SOTP Reveals Huge Upside

China Internet Weekly (4Jul2022): Tencent, Alibaba, NetEase, JD.com, Trip.com

By Ming Lu

  • Alibaba CEO’s article appeared on a government journal, which can be a positive signal to non-state-owned companies.
  • Prosus sells shareholdings in Tencent and JD.com to repurchase its own shares.
  • Tencent is trying to use game technologies in other fields.

KDDI (Buy) – Network Outage Is a Bad Look but Concerns Should Fade over Time

By Kirk Boodry

  • KDDI’s entire network was out over the weekend and whilst service has been restored, there are still sporadic complaints 
  • There are near-term risks for higher user churn and lost Q2 revenue, but these are on the margin and downside should be manageable (i.e. no change on company guidance)
  • Looking past near-term weakness, KDDI remains an attractive defensive play 

SCB – Steady Lending, Capital Growth

By Daniel Tabbush

  • SCB is well-positioned to benefit from the delta in tourism
  • There will be a special dividend at mid-year, amount still unknown
  • BitKub acquisition announced last year, remains pending, may not go through

BBL : So Far so Good

By Pi Research

  • Maintain BUY for BBL with a target price of Bt159.00. We like its strong balance sheet to withstand uncertainty, sustainable profit growth, potential benefits from an upcycle of interest rates
  • A solid net profit in 2Q22 : We expect Bangkok Bank (BBL) to post a net profit of Bt7.4b in 2Q22, up 17% YoY (+4% QoQ). 
  • Lending growth in 2Q22 is expected to rise by 1% QoQ given an expected rise in business loans and loans made through the international network. Asset quality remains resilient

Alibaba Health Information Technology (241.HK) – It’s Not Easy to Break a Deadlock

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Alibaba Health’s core pharmaceutical direct sales business is facing challenges in terms of increasing competition as well as lower revenue growth and margins, dragging down the overall performance.
  • The recent new policies about online drug sales on third-party digital healthcare platforms and online diagnosis and treatment would add more uncertainties on Alibaba Health’s business and outlook.
  • If such unfavorable trend continues, the gap between Alibaba Health and JD Health would be wider. It’s not easy to break the deadlock. Investors may need to take heed.

Z Holdings (4689) | SOTP Reveals Huge Upside

By Mark Chadwick

  • Z HD’s stock has been heavily sold with other tech stocks amid a rising interest rate environment
  • However, we believe that the 3 core business segments are all performing strongly and will continue to gain share
  • Using global comps, we believe that Z HD has more than 100% upside and is the top pick in the online space in Japan

Related tickers: Tencent (0700.HK), KDDI Corp (9433.T), Bangkok Bank Public (BBL.BK), Alibaba Health Information Technology (0241.HK), Z Holdings (4689.T)

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