In today’s briefing:
- Waystar Holding (WAY US): Clear WAY to One Global Index, Rocky Road to the Other.
- [Earnings Preview] Shell’s Refining Margins to Tighten in Q3; Upstream Output Gains to Soften Blow
- AIG: Rise, Fall, and Rebirth – [Business Breakdowns, EP.187]
- [Earnings Preview] TotalEnergies at Risk from Oil Price Decline, Better Gas Prices Offer Relief
- BSEM: Study Validates Technology and Important Medicare Decision Reached
- HWKN: Downgrading with Seasonal Peak
- GrizzlyRock Capital’s Kyle Mowery on $DRVN’s goodco / badco thesis
- Adicet Bio Inc (ACET) – Thursday, Jul 18, 2024
Waystar Holding (WAY US): Clear WAY to One Global Index, Rocky Road to the Other.
- Waystar Holding (WAY US) is forecasted to pass the mcap and fcap thresholds for the small-cap segment and get added at the November 2024 review.
- The company currently passes the higher regional mcap and fcap thresholds for the small-cap segment at the December 2024 review.
- Waystar Holding (WAY US) risks failing the fcap threshold at the December 2024 review if the stock price falls back to the IPO price levels.
[Earnings Preview] Shell’s Refining Margins to Tighten in Q3; Upstream Output Gains to Soften Blow
- Shell expects Q3 refining margins to drop 28.6% QoQ to USD 5.5/bbl, driven by a sharp decline in oil prices. However, improved chemical margins are anticipated to offer some relief.
- Between 2023 and 2025, Shell plans to invest USD 10 billion to USD 15 billion in low-carbon solutions globally, with a strategic emphasis on LNG.
- Shell projects LNG to account for 26% of energy sales by 2030, up from 22% in 2023, while oil products will decrease from 48% to 39%.
AIG: Rise, Fall, and Rebirth – [Business Breakdowns, EP.187]
- The company required a $180 billion bailout from the US government during the financial crisis, but has since fully repaid it with interest.
- Under Peter Zafino’s leadership, AIG has refocused its underwriting efforts, returning to profitability and divesting non-core businesses.
- AIG has undergone a remarkable turnaround post-financial crisis, focusing on specialty insurance for top quartile industry returns
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[Earnings Preview] TotalEnergies at Risk from Oil Price Decline, Better Gas Prices Offer Relief
- TotalEnergies’ revenue is expected to fall 9.1% QoQ and 17.8% YoY in Q3, while its EPS is expected to rise 6.6% QoQ but fall 19.8% YoY.
- TotalEnergies anticipates a decline in downstream profitability due to a 65.7% QoQ drop in European refining margins, though increased gas prices are expected to partially offset lower oil prices.
- TotalEnergies raised its annual oil and gas output growth forecast to 3% through 2030. Targets natural gas to comprise 50% of its total sales mix by 2030.
BSEM: Study Validates Technology and Important Medicare Decision Reached
- BioStem Technologies is a leading innovator focused on harnessing the natural properties of perinatal tissue in the development, manufacture, and commercialization of allografts for regenerative therapies.
- The company announced testing results for its core BioRetain technology that showed the superiority of the treatment over the traditional standard of care.
- Additionally, the company received national pricing from Medicare for its Vendaje AC product.
HWKN: Downgrading with Seasonal Peak
- HWKN has grown its water treatment business through acquisition leading to the segment becoming larger than the industrial business. The water treatment segment should become the largest sales generator.
- We believe this growth through inorganic means has resulted in HWKN’s stock trading at a premium to the market and to HWKN’s historic levels.
- The seasonality the water treatment segment experiences should result in HWKN’s overall gross margin declining in the second half of fiscal 2025.
GrizzlyRock Capital’s Kyle Mowery on $DRVN’s goodco / badco thesis
- Tigus provides a clear view of industries and companies for research
- Kyle Mowry discusses Driven Brands as a complex but interesting investment
- Driven Brands offers a combination of private equity control and public market liquidity, leading to potential mispricing and alpha opportunity
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Adicet Bio Inc (ACET) – Thursday, Jul 18, 2024
- Adicet Bio is a biotech company working on developing an off-the-shelf CD20 gamma delta CAR-T cell therapy for autoimmune diseases, particularly lupus nephritis
- The company also has gamma delta CAR-T programs targeting various cancers, with value inflection data points expected in 2024 and 2025
- Despite trading at a negative enterprise value, Adicet has significant cash reserves and a manageable quarterly spend, making its equity potentially underpriced compared to peers, with the potential success of its autoimmune program leading to a stock re-rating.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.