In today’s briefing:
- Tesla Q1 Deliveries: Look Out Below
- D.R. Horton (DHI) – Wednesday, Jan 3, 2024
- Century Communities Inc: A Story Of Expansion Through Mergers & Acquisitions! – Major Drivers
- Rising Geopolitical Tensions Propel Crude Oil Even as OPEC+ Will Likely Stay the Course
- Life Time Group Holdings Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Unveiling the 4 Major Forces Propelling Its Success! – Major Drivers
- Shake Shack Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – The 4 Fundamental Aspects Fueling Its Growth Uncovered! – Major Drivers
- TripAdvisor Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Leveraging Data and Artificial Intelligence (AI) for Growing Engagement! – Major Drivers
- Carnival Corporation & plc: Are Its Brand Strengthening Efforts Paying Off? – Major Drivers
- Helen of Troy Limited: Project Pegasus & Expectations for Fiscal 2025!
- Carter’s Inc: Initiation Of Coverage – These Are The 3 Biggest Challenges In Its Path! – Major Drivers
Tesla Q1 Deliveries: Look Out Below
- Q1 Deliveries trailed plunging market consensus, my even lower number, and Tesla’s expectations as sales crashed while it overproduced to a new record cumulative excess inventory which jumped 70% y/y
- This doesn’t square with Tesla’s explanation that sales were hurt by ongoing production issues—much like when the company used the same excuse for the disappointing Q3 2023.
- This time deliveries were much lower, the miss versus market expectations much worse, and the deep well of unsold inventories even more formidable.
D.R. Horton (DHI) – Wednesday, Jan 3, 2024
- D.R. Horton is a leading homebuilder with high returns on equity and strong balance sheets, yet trades at a low price-to-earnings ratio.
- The company has shifted to being asset-light, generating significant free cash flow and maintaining a strong balance sheet.
- With a focus on market share expansion and efficiency, D.R. Horton is positioned as a growth company in a stable industry.
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Century Communities Inc: A Story Of Expansion Through Mergers & Acquisitions! – Major Drivers
- Century Communities has reported its Q4 and Full-Year 2023 results, which demonstrated notable growth and profitability.
- The company’s Q4 deliveries hit a record high of 3,157 homes, reflecting a 9% year-on-year increase, and the year 2023 marked the firm’s 21st consecutive year of profitability.
- The housing market also witnessed considerable improvement, contributing to the company’s success.
Rising Geopolitical Tensions Propel Crude Oil Even as OPEC+ Will Likely Stay the Course
- Oil prices are buoyant as the market largely expects OPEC+ to keep the supply cut policy intact till June.
- Global oil demand outlook improves as the US and China see pick up in manufacturing activity after one-and-a-half years and six months, respectively.
- Russia decides to focus on reducing oil output rather than exports in Q22024, implying a surprise shift in policy.
Life Time Group Holdings Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Unveiling the 4 Major Forces Propelling Its Success! – Major Drivers
- Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.’s Q4 2023 earnings call emphasized impressive financial performance and strategic growth plans.
- The revenue increased by 18.2% in Q4, driven by a rise of 20.9% in membership dues and enrollment fees, and an 11% increase in in-center revenue.
- Access memberships increased by 5.2%, ending the year with over 763,000 memberships, while average monthly dues stood at $183, a rise of 13.2% from the previous year.
Shake Shack Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – The 4 Fundamental Aspects Fueling Its Growth Uncovered! – Major Drivers
- Shake Shack Inc. delivered an impressive 2023 full year, marking transformative milestones and exhibiting substantial profitable growth.
- Key metrics indicate a steady growth of 24% year-over-year in the company’s system-wide sales, reaching a record $1.7 billion.
- The company launched 85 total restaurants (an unprecedented number in a single year) and ended 2023 with 518 Shake Shacks worldwide.
TripAdvisor Inc.: Initiation Of Coverage – Leveraging Data and Artificial Intelligence (AI) for Growing Engagement! – Major Drivers
- Tripadvisor’s fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial results exceeded expectations with the company reporting revenue growth of 10% year-on-year amounting to $390 million in Q4.
- In the same period, the adjusted EBITDA was $84 million attributed to exceptional brand performance and marketing efficiencies.
- For the full year, the company reported a consolidated revenue growth of 20%, recording an all-time high of $1.8 billion, with adjusted EBITDA experiencing a 13% growth to $334 million.
Carnival Corporation & plc: Are Its Brand Strengthening Efforts Paying Off? – Major Drivers
- Carnival Corporation plc recently released its Q1 2024 earnings.
- The company’s CEO, Josh Weinstein, and CFO, David Bernstein, detailed its financial performance.
- Despite recent disruptions caused by an event at the Francis Scott Key Bridge, which is expected to have a less than $10 million full-year impact, the company reported a strong first quarter.
Helen of Troy Limited: Project Pegasus & Expectations for Fiscal 2025!
- This is our first report on consumer products major, Helen of Troy.
- The company reported its third quarter fiscal 2024 earnings, with the results slightly surpassing expectations.
- The firm has shown consistent results over the past several quarters and is on pace to meet full-year financial targets.
Carter’s Inc: Initiation Of Coverage – These Are The 3 Biggest Challenges In Its Path! – Major Drivers
- Carter’s, Inc. finished its fiscal year 2023 on a strong note with a sequential increase in their Q4 comparable U.S. retail sales.
- The demand for their new spring product offerings was earlier than planned leading to better than expected earnings and cash flow in the quarter.
- Earnings per share were up over 20% with margin expansion in each of their three business segments.