Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC), ARM Holdings, Mediatek Inc, 4Paradigm, NVIDIA Corp, Rumble and more

• The yearly growth target could approach 25% YoY in 2024.
• TSMC’s CoWoS demand continues to rise, with capacity expected to increase by approximately another 5% in 2024.
• TSMC’s stock price has risen by 55% in Taiwan and by 66.3% in US markets this year. We believe it has the potential to continue increasing further.

• ARM Holdings (ARM US) will replace Sirius Xm Holdings (SIRI US) in the Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX) after the close of trading on 21 June.
• Passive trackers will need to buy just over US$500m of ARM Holdings (ARM US) while the estimated selling in Sirius Xm Holdings (SIRI US) is smaller.
• There could be passive selling in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US), but this will be a lot smaller than the expected buying from the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) ETF.

• Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)’s 3Q24 is expected to experience a quarter-on-quarter increase of about 5%.  
• MediaTek is currently developing new processors based on Arm architecture and natively supporting the Microsoft Windows operating system.
• It is believed that MediaTek will tape out with TSMC 3nm technology, targeting the 1H25 market.

• 4Paradigm, China’s AI software company with focus on enterprise-level solutions, performed well and achieved solid growth in 2023 and Q1 2024. 
• In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and set a new 12-month PT for 4Paradigm.
• The company’s management has set a clear goal of profitability. I like 4Paradigm’s leadership position and hyper-growth in revenue from the Sage AI Platform.

• NVIDIA deploys a three-pronged strategy to support the rapidly growing AI ecosystem. First, Corporate Investments. Second, NVentures. Third, NVIDIA Inception.
• NVentures supports innovators who are deeply relevant to NVIDIA. NVentures aims to produce solid financial returns while growing the ecosystem.
• NVIDIA participated in 35 deals in 2023 (6x more than in 2022). It has been more active than firm like Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia.

• Short Rumble with a price target of $0.90 per share, representing an 88% downside
• Despite recent partnerships and market cap boost, company faces challenges like negative cash flow, declining user numbers, and inexperienced management
• Investment is risky due to technical factors like limited available shares and high borrowing costs, advises monitoring stock performance and adjusting position sizes based on upcoming election结果

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.