In today’s briefing:
- Shinko Electric (6967) – Break/Gap Risk Early July 2024 Update
- Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Hikes TSMC Orders on Strong IPhone 16 Hopes; Google Shifts AI Chip to TSMC
- Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Jul-2024): Taiwan to announce offshore wind rules by 3Q24.
- Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Jul-2024): Taiwan to announce offshore wind rules by 3Q24.
- EQT/Keywords Studios: Scheme of Arrangement
- Soundthinking Inc (SSTI) – Wednesday, Apr 3, 2024
Shinko Electric (6967) – Break/Gap Risk Early July 2024 Update
- When this deal was announced, it was light. But the timing, JSR influence, large-ish float, ensured FUD would make this trade wide. It traded wider.
- Nearly 6mos ago, Shinko had much-underperformed peer Ibiden, meaning downside gap risk from undisturbed was negative as spreads were wide. I reco’d a buy. Then 16+wks ago, recommended taking profits.
- Shinko had outperformed Ibiden, gross spreads had narrowed 5+% on JSR approval. Gross spread is now 4.6% but time is shorter so annualised is 10+% even out to December launch.
Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Hikes TSMC Orders on Strong IPhone 16 Hopes; Google Shifts AI Chip to TSMC
- Apple Increasing Chip Orders with TSMC — Expecting iPhone 16 Sales to be Much Stronger Than iPhone 15 Thanks to AI
- Google Said to be Shifting to TSMC from Samsung for Next Generation AI Mobile Phone Chips
- This June 28th piece appears to be timely — Memory Monitor: Micron’s Shares May Be Falling But Results’ Industry Implications Are Positive
Tech Supply Chain Tracker (04-Jul-2024): Taiwan to announce offshore wind rules by 3Q24.
- Taiwan plans to release offshore wind regulations by 3Q24, boosting the renewable energy sector’s growth and investment opportunities.
- Chinese investment in 8.6G OLED technology is boosting the South Korean display equipment industry, leading to potential economic growth.
- VinFast’s Indian factory may open earlier than expected, while mobile device suppliers show interest in using edge AI to enhance the market.
Tech Supply Chain Tracker (03-Jul-2024): Taiwan to announce offshore wind rules by 3Q24.
- Taiwan set to release offshore wind regulations by 3Q24, opening doors for growth and innovation in the industry.
- China’s significant investment in OLED technology boosts South Korean display equipment sector, creating opportunities for growth.
- Telecoms facing challenges with slow 5G adoption, pushing them to adapt and transform strategies to overcome obstacles.
EQT/Keywords Studios: Scheme of Arrangement
- On 3 July, PUSU deadline, Bidco and Keywords Studios (KWS LN) have agreed to an acquisition to be carried out through a scheme of arrangement.
- Shareholders will receive 2,450p/share in cash, cum dividend, 66.7% premium, for 22.4x Fwd P/E. There’s a minimal number of irrevocables and just 7.57% of capital in letters of intent.
- I think the price is reasonable considering the recent challenges affecting the value of the stock, and deal will close. Spread is 2.45%/6.3% (gross/annualised, assuming settlement by 29 November). Long.
Soundthinking Inc (SSTI) – Wednesday, Apr 3, 2024
- Soundthinking (SSTI) is a SaaS company providing technology to law enforcement agencies for enhanced effectiveness
- Market cap of $200 million and trading at 2x sales, considered cheap compared to growth potential
- Company has history of 15% annual growth, 60% gross margins expected to increase with expansion, projected revenue growth of 15% over next three years, EBITDA margins expected to reach 32% by 2026, stock predicted to trade at $74 per share with 360% upside from current prices
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.