In today’s briefing:
- NVIDIA’s Conundrum…
- HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: ASM Pacific (522) Could Replace Ping An Health (1833); US$1bn Trade
- Chenqi Technology IPO – Smallest in Scale, Sentiment Might Not Be the Best
- Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Downgrading Materials to Underweight; Software Buys $MSTR $CRWD
- 1Spatial – Contract wins underpin US growth opportunity
NVIDIA’s Conundrum…
- NVIDIA’s data center revenues tripled YoY in CY 2023 and are on track to more than double in CY 2024
- When Intel dominated the data centre and minted tens of billions annually, its customers benefited even more, minting hundreds of billions.
- If NVIDIA’s business model succeeds, its customers will succeed even more. This will make it extremely difficult for NVIDIA to remain the #1 global market cap stock.
HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: ASM Pacific (522) Could Replace Ping An Health (1833); US$1bn Trade
- ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) is expected to replace Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the September rebalance.
- Constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$7.8bn (US$1bn).
- Short interest is near the lows on both stocks but there has been a recent tick higher for ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK).
Chenqi Technology IPO – Smallest in Scale, Sentiment Might Not Be the Best
- Chenqi Technology Limited (CT HK) is looking to raise up to US$174m in its Hong Kong IPO, after downsizing from an earlier reported float of US$300m.
- Chenqi Technology (Chenqi) is a mobility technology and service company in China, founded by the GAC Group and Tencent.
- In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance and PHIP updates. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.
Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Downgrading Materials to Underweight; Software Buys $MSTR $CRWD
- Mega-Cap growth names such as AMZN, TSLA, MSFT, GOOGL, and META have picked up the slack as semiconductors (SMH, SOXX, NVDA, AVGO, etc.) are simply consolidating after getting extended.
- This was a possibility we discussed in last week’s Compass (6/25/24), which means we are not seeing any lasting rotation away from large-cap growth.
- We remain bullish on all names listed (including the semiconductors), and we continue to recommend an overweight to large-cap growth (relative to value) as initially discussed in our 5/29/24 Compass
1Spatial – Contract wins underpin US growth opportunity
1Spatial’s announcement of contract wins in the US, spanning a number of products across several states, highlights the company’s progress and opportunity in the world’s largest market for software. It also gives an early indication that management’s investment in strengthening the US business development team could yield good results. In the US 1Spatial now has contracts or framework agreements with 21 states, up from 18 at year-end, with management setting a longer-term ambition of generating $1m in annual recurring revenues from each state.